X 1.9 and CME inbound
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Misc Space Weather
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
G4+ watch issued. Come on yall, we need expert analysis.
FamouslyHot
Member
There's a good community of knowledgable space wx experts on X. I've learned a ton there!
While everyone is focused on icemaggedon. We just had our largest CME impact since 2003,
Holy shrimp it’s already a G4.
Press play and watch it happen.
NBAcentel
Member
looks like we are in the sheath of this CME and it’s showing a lot of negative BZ, could signal the flux rope (if we get one) would be negative, all though not guaranteed
That would be no bueno.
Bz -56
KP 8 G4 S5
Yikes
KP 8 G4 S5
Yikes
I’m gonna start following space weather
Woah! A X8.1! @NBAcentel It's not in earth firing range but it will be in 2 days.
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disassociated_vort
Member
look like 4366!
8.11 !!!
seems favorable positioning incoming spot on upper left (err.. NE or NW?) quad looks like i can switch forums for a little bit.
8.11 !!!
seems favorable positioning incoming spot on upper left (err.. NE or NW?) quad looks like i can switch forums for a little bit.
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NBAcentel
Member
looks like the CME is directed NE, with a shock going out in all directions (glancing blow possible) only thing that worries me is this region is showing signs of caging unlike past regions so it’s gonna take some hefty flares for the magnetic caging to break some during expulsion. That magnetic shear along the delta spot right now is really intense. Wouldn’t shock me if this one has a X10+
There is some post-eruptive arcades ongoing. Hopefully that breaks the cage.
Looks impulsive...nbd on this one.
I know very little about space/solar weather.. this solar flare going to result in anything? Mid-latitude aurora?
CME not earth directed. Has potential to fire more M-flares and X-flares.
It's possible, but unless there's some sort of delay, the coronagraph didn't show a big CME. The flare was a quick burst and not sustained.
rburrel2
Member
It sounds like the sunspot itself is still crazy active and probably going to have some more flare action in the coming hours/days, and it’s getting more earth facing during that time.
Hopefully the magnetic cage breaks before it goes into firing range. Usually it's in firing range for like 5-7 days. It's supposed to be in firing range tommorow. It fired another X-flare but no CME due to that darn cage.
For anybody who enjoys International Space Station sightings/flyovers, there's a neat tool that predicts viewing opportunities and specifics for any given location.
https://www.astroviewer.net/iss/en/observation.php
Here's an example of the output for an upcoming sighting next Thursday. Thought I would pass along.
https://www.astroviewer.net/iss/en/observation.php
Here's an example of the output for an upcoming sighting next Thursday. Thought I would pass along.