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Misc Space Weather

Significant solar flare and associated CME occured last night with a long duration event X flare. Looks like a glancing blow is likely from this. Currently thinking G2/G3 levels of storming is possible upon arrival. Large group of sunspots should be hitting the center disk soon. Imo itā€™s about to get further active. Best look since the May sandwich imo with multiple large sunspots 6DF78F9D-C3D5-4716-96D9-EBE72BF1D6D0.jpeg428CFA35-7FF1-424E-A103-489482E87C27.jpeg51D544BA-B373-43D2-B264-12BA10458961.jpeg
 
According to the research, we have a ā€œfull beaver moonā€ tonight. Sheā€™s a beaut! Canā€™t wait to see it in the early morning hours as I get ready for work. Iā€™ve never heard of a ā€œfull beaver moon ā€œ but Iā€™m willing to give it a shot.
 

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"SPACEWEATHER.COM
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STRONG SOLAR ACTIVITY RESUMES: The quiet has broken. Today sunspot 3936 produced a strong X1-class solar flare (0717 UT) along with a series of M-class flares peaking at M7 (1509 UT). As a result of these explosions, at least one CME is heading for Earth, and a NASA model shows it reaching Earth late on Dec. 31st. "

solarham.com
"A partial halo CME observed leaving the Sun earlier on Sunday (Dec 29) is predicted to sweep past Earth by New Years Eve (Dec 31). A strong (G3) geomagnetic storm watch was officially added by NOAA/SWPC for that date. Contrary to other sources, the CME is not related to the X-Flare and was the result of an eruption in the vicinity of AR 3939 in the southeast quadrant. Perhaps some aurora to ring in the new year should local weather and viewing conditions allow."

Late Dec 31 would be 24z or 6pm central time. It would be great to see the Northern Lights before the fireworks!​
 

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Tight delta sunspot on region 3981 in the southern middle spot with a lot of other spots getting strong magnetic shear, oh boy IMG_4932.jpegIMG_4933.gif
 
What does that mean?
Sorta similar to a radar couplet, lots of magnetic shear packed in one tight spot, delta sunspots are volatile and can produce significant solar flares and associated coronal mass ejections. The tighter the blue and red is, the more likely you got a delta sunspot with 2 or more spots within a penumbra. Think of a delta as a constant aggravation with 2 opposing magnetic fields pushing up on each other creating instability and increases the odds for something to go boom
 
This looks promising if it can hold into tonight, nearing the equinox so the russel McPherson effect may enhance views, if we can maintain consistent southward pointed fields could be some views in the upper SE tonight. Need the -BZ to hold IMG_6216.pngIMG_6215.png
 
This looks promising if it can hold into tonight, nearing the equinox so the russel McPherson effect may enhance views, if we can maintain consistent southward pointed fields could be some views in the upper SE tonight. Need the -BZ to hold
What this mean? Enhance views of what?? Thanks!
 
How the heck do you know so much?! It's truly astonishing
That May Gannon G5 storm really got me into it, just went to some space wx forums and learned quite honestly from the guys that know a lot, didnā€™t ask to much questions, just saw posts and what could be good for Aurora events and bad for it
 
That May Gannon G5 storm really got me into it, just went to some space wx forums and learned quite honestly from the guys that know a lot, didnā€™t ask to much questions, just saw posts and what could be good for Aurora events and bad for it
Forums really do teach a lot , I used to be in the space weather forums except it was more of a global cooling conspiracy forum where we tracked sunspots and solar max intensities to predict cycles of cooling lol

My other forum I frequent but donā€™t post is the arctic sea ice forum, those guys are smart Iā€™ve learned a lot
 
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