Heelyes
Member
This will be worse than the super bowl against the Patriots and almost as devastating as Sherman for Atlanta
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Misc Sizzling Shenanigans: warm season whamby
- Thread starter SD
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Those of us that remember Opal know we don't want this. I've got half a steer in one freezer and a hog in the other. Running generators for an extended period of time sucks.
I don’t recall the top wind gusts with Irma, but there were widespread power outages, tons of trees down, homes damaged, traffic light mast arms down, etc. It was pretty bad for about a week.
LickWx
Member
Is anyone considering the possibility this becomes a CAD storm and never breaks 40 degrees with sleet in the upstate of sc? Just saying
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
It's September. If it was a month later, then maybe.
LickWx
Member
Models have a warm bias
The folks who are expecting a full blown hurricane in Atlanta are going to be mighty disappointed come Friday morning. Keep your expectations in check. Sure trees down, flash flooding and extended power outages are a very real threat. But for those thinking windows blown out of high rises, roofs torn off everywhere and forests flattened I don't know what to tell you but move closer to the coast of that's what you want.
That precip max in SWNC would be about 75" of sleet so maybe?
the issue is that there's going to be a place where the corridor of highest PRE rains and the path of the remnant core/eyewall intersect that will see a lot of downed trees and that intersection point could easily be atl
Brent
Member
It doesn't help that Atlanta has more trees than any city in the world basically
Mostly oaks with shallow root systems too.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
The center of Helene now forecast to track about 20 or 30 miles west of me putting me on the bad side.
You never did say where you were at??
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Americus, GA. 40 miles north of Albany. I'm about 10 miles from Jimmy Carter.
That's kind of the way I see it too. My opinion of Atlanta not getting hurricane force wins apparently isn't popular. We'll see Friday morning what happens. But these wind maps from what I've seen are almost always wrong. Just like snow maps they are way over done. We try to justify them saying it's a different setup but I'm guessing there is a reason those pressures haven't been recorded in North GA before and I'm sure this setup has happened many of times. Not saying it's impossible but if I was a betting man I'd say the pressures are modeled too low and the winds too high. I remember Brent posting it seems Atlanta only gusted to 59 during Opal? Their benchmark storm? It's asking a lot to get 70-80 mph gusts there. Stick with what the NHC and NWS say. If they say it I may start believing it
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I'm literally under a Hurricane Warning and you say Atlanta won't get hurricane force winds ? I'm only 135 miles south of Atlanta !
NoSnowATL
Member
They might get some gusts. Tons of trees and elevated power poles. They will learn being cheap actually cost more money down the road.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Yeah I don't expect sustained Hurricane winds in Atlanta but if the track holds I think hurricane force winds are definitely possible.
Brent
Member
It's gonna be mostly gusts that far inland sustained winds will drop off rapidly
I can officially recommend a Coleman generator.
I checked the oil and poured gas into this generator, which hadn't run since Katrina and three pulls later, vroom!
Bring it, Helene.
I checked the oil and poured gas into this generator, which hadn't run since Katrina and three pulls later, vroom!
Bring it, Helene.
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