I think we have too much marine influence to see much here at the immediate coast. Along and west of US 17 could still destabilize enough for a couple tornadoes.
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Severe Severe Threat March 15-16 2026
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Kudos to FFC had no mention of even “possibly severe” for ATL (this was issued at 2:27AM):
REST OF TONIGHT
SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
MONDAY
CLOUDY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
So, FFC didn’t bust at all.
REST OF TONIGHT
SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
MONDAY
CLOUDY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
So, FFC didn’t bust at all.
NorthHillsWx
Member
It is just unfathomable that this is mostly through the level 4 threat area and there isn’t a single warning in NC. This will be the biggest forecast bust in this region possibly ever
Downeastnc
Member
Back to sunny here after a few hrs of showers...
It wouldn't take a lot to recharge this air mass this afternoon ahead of the front. Probably too much debris left over and the tornado threat is way down especially west of US1 but it's not dead dead yet
Downeastnc
Member
SPC continued to MDT for damaging wind gusts, but dropped SIG tor to 10% (ENH)
Not getting a single severe storm warning in RDU area when there was an adamant level 4 risk for 2 days straight is a next level best. Historic busts here in RDU
- From 0.5+ inches of ice to just 0.7in of ice pellets in mid to late january
- From 8-12 inches of snow to just 1-3 inches of snow in late january
And now this? I'm fairly new to forecasting. Are these busts common in RDU?
- From 0.5+ inches of ice to just 0.7in of ice pellets in mid to late january
- From 8-12 inches of snow to just 1-3 inches of snow in late january
And now this? I'm fairly new to forecasting. Are these busts common in RDU?
I mean we had this going on in Mars Hill before the sun came up..and that line was pretty damn windy here albeit for a short period of time. idk what happened east (so far) but if this setup ended up missing something it was probably just a smidgen of whatever it was.
I’m not one of those people who complains about a severe weather bust because it gives me anxiety and I’m grateful when it’s gone
I’m not one of those people who complains about a severe weather bust because it gives me anxiety and I’m grateful when it’s gone
BrickTamland
Member