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Severe threat 1/25/21

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Mesoscale Discussion 0035
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 PM CST Mon Jan 25 2021

Areas affected...Central Mississippi...North-Central
Alabama...Extreme Northwest Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 3...

Valid 260540Z - 260745Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 3 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat will focus along a corridor from central MS
to extreme northwest GA over the next few hours. The primary risk
will be locally damaging winds along with the threat for a tornado
or two.

DISCUSSION...While large-scale forcing is focused well north of the
central Gulf States, latest satellite imagery suggests deep
convection has intensified over the last hour or so. Cloud-top
evacuation has increased along with lightning flash rates,
indicative of strengthening updrafts. It's not entirely clear why
this activity has increased, but current trends suggest the greatest
focus for the next few hours will concentrate from central MS,
northeast into northwest GA. Supercells will continue to be a
threat, and at times a few of these may exhibit tornadic signatures.
One particular tornadic supercell that passed just north of BHM has
translated into St. Clair County where it has weakened a bit. This
type of updraft/meso cycling can be expected along the
aforementioned corridor for at least the next few hours.

..Darrow.. 01/26/2021
 
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