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Pattern September 2024

NCSNOW said:
@ SD: My central NC Severe Storm expert: You think we get a Good line to roll down on us Tuesday off the Blue Ridge?
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I think rain chances are decent but I'm not sold on any kind of organized line. A couple of strong/severe segments or clusters seems more likely. Kind of concerned we get locked into the old wedge if we get rain overnight though
 
Apparently some parts of OKC had enough hail accumulation that some people have mentioned it looked like snow 🤣
 
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I had a heavy batch of showers that came NW off the ocean here the last hour, the heaviest in at least a couple of weeks. I’ll get the measurement later. The only other significant rain I’ve had this month and actually since Aug 20th was 1.5” during 9/5-8. This was unexpected as there earlier had been no chance of rain and the models didn’t have it.

This is important because I finally had a Storm Shield garage door rubber threshold placed yesterday afternoon by company #2 after waiting for several weeks for company #1 to install it to try to prevent future flooding during heavy rain events after what Debby did last month. It requires 48 hours of dry prior to install so the adhesive would be effective. The appointment had been for this afternoon, but fortunately on Mon I was able to move it up to yesterday. Had I not done that, they wouldn’t have been able to install it today in advance of Helene. Whew!

It would have been better to not have any rain today to give more time for the adhesive to set in better. But the rain started 19 hours after install. So, hopefully that was enough time.
 
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GaWx said:
I had a heavy batch of showers that came NW off the ocean here the last hour, the heaviest in at least a couple of weeks. I’ll get the measurement later. This was unexpected as there earlier had been no chance of rain and the models didn’t have it.

This is important because I finally had a Storm Shield garage door rubber threshold placed yesterday afternoon by company #2 after waiting for several weeks for company #1 to install it to try to prevent future flooding during heavy rain events after what Debby did last month. It requires 48 hours of dry prior to install so the adhesive would be effective. The appointment had been for this afternoon, but fortunately on Mon I was able to move it up to yesterday. Had I not done that, they wouldn’t have been able to install it today in advance of Helene. Whew!

It would have been better to not have any rain today to give more time for the adhesive to set in better. But the rain started 19 hours after install. So, hopefully that was enough time.
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How much rain have you had down that way this month?
 
A 2nd batch of heavy showers moving NW off the ocean just came through. There may be a 3rd batch later. This area seems to be on a train track for showers today. None of this has been forecasted earlier by NWS/models.

Edit: I ended up with ~2”, none of which had been forecasted by models and the NWS had no mentioned pop til a few hours before. And it turned out I had a little water coming in to my garage on the side that had the most during Debby as well as from the thunderstorm 8/20.
 
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GaWx said:
A 2nd batch of heavy showers moving NW off the ocean just came through. There may be a 3rd batch later. This area seems to be on a train track for showers today. None of this has been forecasted earlier by NWS/models.
Click to expand...
Just light showers and sprinkling here so far.
 
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