Tropical Rafael

[SASQUATCH]

Wow!! We go from a northern gulf coast landfall to Mexico in a few hours

Yep, really hard to make that run North this time of year.

 

[Shaggy]

Yep, really hard to make that run North this time of year.

Been the story of the year with these big blocking ridges over the east coast. Nothings coming north unless it's ENE OTS

 

[GolfishardIknowit70]

Been the story of the year with these big blocking ridges over the east coast. Nothings coming north unless it's ENE OTS

A clockwise flow around a high, in theory, should pull it north imo.

 

[Brent]

GFS/AVNI be on something

 

[Belle Lechat]

Hurricane Rafael Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182024
800 PM EST Wed Nov 06 2024

...CENTER OF RAFAEL MOVING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
...8 PM EST POSITION UPDATE...

A few hours ago, Mariel, Cuba reported sustained winds of 80 mph
(130 km/h) and a peak gust of 115 mph (185 km/h) as the eye of
Rafael passed nearby.

The next hourly update will be provided at 9 PM EST...0200 UTC.


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EST...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 83.3W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM W OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...170 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.58 INCHES

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[accu35]

So pretty much heading south and ignoring those northern ones

 

[lexxnchloe]

 

[Henry2326]

waters to cold....yep....never again will the waters be too cold.

 

[Belle Lechat]

I'm looking forward to seeing how the next one ends up looking next week.