Didn't endorse - just passing along info ... (but it is very tropical here today, notwithstanding) ...He is really on board if he expects Irma today.
Didn't endorse - just passing along info ... (but it is very tropical here today, notwithstanding) ...He is really on board if he expects Irma today.
Yes and like I just said in response to FS - it is very tropical here today ...You can see on that loop it's trying to wrap up toward the end.
Looks line recon is still scheduled for today?
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Agreed to me it looks like a decent left of track heavy rain setup. I have a hard time buying all the precip being pinned to the coast with a deep southerly flow on the east side of the system that gets wrapped into our area.The storm may become more heavily weighted on its northwestern side as it becomes increasingly baroclinic (w/ vortex tending to tilt northwestward w/ height towards lower heights/cooler air) as interacts with a s/w over the Ohio Valley & there's a strong cold air damming wedge in place across much of the state that will provide a focus for isentropic lift to the north & northwest of the storm and as we all know, NWP often mishandles (under represents) precipitation in this kind of setup...
View attachment 929
Winner winner chicken dinnerClassic setup for isentropic upglide w/ rich tropical moisture overrunning a CAD wedge. These setups usually over perform so we'll see.
View attachment 930
View attachment 931
Now if only JHS and I could get some rain too...Winner winner chicken dinner
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
That's what she said!Then the 12z happened what's 6 inches difference
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Webber, please be right! If this forms of GA coast and develops fairly quickly, my back yard, would be in a SE fetch, and that could get us some ok rains up here! When they are due East of me off the NC coast, we only get subsidence! I have a glimmer of hope! It's kind of like a winter storm around here, you've lost all hope, then you see an HRRR run that gives you a deathband, and it's game back on!The storm may become more heavily weighted on its northwestern side as it becomes increasingly baroclinic (w/ vortex tending to tilt northwestward w/ height towards lower heights/cooler air) as interacts with a s/w over the Ohio Valley & there's a strong cold air damming wedge in place across much of the state that will provide a focus for isentropic lift to the north & northwest of the storm and as we all know, NWP often mishandles (under represents) precipitation in this kind of setup...
View attachment 929
Been around this block more than a few times, and the air sure smells and tastes like it ...Looks like this wants a name