Shaggy
Member
Would have thought we would be hearing about this one today with that debris sig but guess not.
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Severe POSS SEVERE WEATHER STARTING 05-17-2019 and BEYOND
- Thread starter PEA_RIDGE
- Start date
Would have thought we would be hearing about this one today with that debris sig but guess not.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Other than some 1-3km VBV, which I still question at times, this environment supports tornadoes, strong ones aswell, few storms have developed, but height rises, EML advection from Mexico/warmer 850-600 mb Temps will be a issue for storm development later
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
PDS watch out now.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 211
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwest and Central Oklahoma
Western North Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 230 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Isolated intense thunderstorms are expected to affect the
watch area this afternoon and early evening. Any storm that
persists will pose a risk of strong tornadoes, very large hail, and
damaging winds.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles south of Altus OK to 45
miles south southeast of Chandler OK. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 211
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwest and Central Oklahoma
Western North Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 230 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Isolated intense thunderstorms are expected to affect the
watch area this afternoon and early evening. Any storm that
persists will pose a risk of strong tornadoes, very large hail, and
damaging winds.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles south of Altus OK to 45
miles south southeast of Chandler OK. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
Damn “several strong tornadoes likely” let’s hope it’s another bust
Oklahoma can't seem to have a break from all of this rain.
Brent
Member
another PDS watch???
Where’s broyles at ?
I didn't expect it to be a PDS Tornado Watch.
Storms are already firing up in Oklahoma.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Part of the watch is in a marginal threat area, and even just a general thunderstorm threat area.
TORCON is now at a 7 for OKC, Joplin, and Tulsa.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Where can you find this online?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Currently sitting in Moore, OK in position for whatever develops in this PDS watch. This is my last day of chasing, hope it’s a good one.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Mesoscale Discussion 0734
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0306 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019
Areas affected...Northeast Oklahoma...Southeast Kansas...Southwest
Missouri...and Northwest Arkansas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 222006Z - 222200Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent
SUMMARY...Supercells capable of large hail, damaging winds, and
tornadoes -- a few of which may be strong -- are expected. A tornado
watch is likely.
DISCUSSION...Visible satellite shows boundary layer cumulus
developing over portions of northeast Oklahoma, southeast Kansas,
northwest Arkansas, and southwest Missouri, as low-level moisture
advects northward across the region. Surface dew points in the low
70s F are overspreading the region, ahead of a stalled cold front.
Along the front, elevated convection has developed and is moving
parallel to the boundary. With continued diabatic heating and
low-level moisture advection, further destabilization can be
expected, with MLCAPE values of 3000-4000 J/kg developing by late
afternoon.
Given these thermodynamic conditions, convective initiation is
expected within the next 1-2 hours. Convection along the front may
eventually root into the boundary layer, and additional storms may
develop in the warm sector, particularly in southern parts of the
MCD area. As storms develop, effective bulk shear of 50-55 kt will
help organize the convection into supercell structures. With
effective SRH exceeding 200 m^2/s^2, tornadoes -- a few of which
could be strong -- are possible, along with the threat for large
hail and damaging winds. A tornado watch will likely be issued
within the next hour.
..Karstens/Hart.. 05/22/2019
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Currently sitting in Moore, OK in position for whatever develops in this PDS watch. This is my last day of chasing, hope it’s a good one.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Another PDS watch.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 212
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Kansas
Central and Southwest Missouri
Northeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 330 PM
until 1100 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop across the watch
area this afternoon and spread northeastward through the evening.
Supercells capable of very large hail, damaging winds, and strong
tornadoes are possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 60 miles west southwest of Tulsa OK
to 60 miles east northeast of Knob Noster MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 212
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Wed May 22 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Kansas
Central and Southwest Missouri
Northeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 330 PM
until 1100 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop across the watch
area this afternoon and spread northeastward through the evening.
Supercells capable of very large hail, damaging winds, and strong
tornadoes are possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 60 miles west southwest of Tulsa OK
to 60 miles east northeast of Knob Noster MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).