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Severe POSS SEVERE WEATHER STARTING 05-17-2019 and BEYOND

You just hope this thing isn't all the way on the ground. It looks like its heading for a heavily populated area
 
This one might be done... knock on wood
rotation has broadened and weakened considerably
 
Looks like Linwood, KS was leveled. And now another huge debris signature showing up near Lawson, KS.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Maybe it is better just to use the other severe thread, but change the title to something like General Severe Discussion and use it for discussing events outside the SE. And just use this one for discussing May weather in the SE. Now we have folks posting on both.
Click to expand...

Holy fooking ----, inflow in these storms today was incredible
 
Looks like Texas and Oklahoma are the biggest concern today.

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Mesoscale Discussion 0876
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0731 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

Areas affected...North Texas...South and Central Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 291231Z - 291430Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...The severe threat is expected to increase across north
Texas and southern to central Oklahoma this morning. An isolated
tornado threat along with wind damage and hail will be possible as
storms move northeastward across the region this morning. A tornado
watch may be necessary once uncertainty decreases concerning timing.

DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery shows a cluster of strong to
severe thunderstorms across west-central Texas located just to the
west of an axis of moderate to strong instability. The RAP is
analyzing MLCAPE in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range across north Texas
with a pocket of 3000+ located in southern Oklahoma. In addition,
the RAP is showing a 40 to 50 kt low-level jet over central Texas
which is moving north and strengthening. This feature will move
northward toward the Red River resulting in a more favorable
low-level shear environment for tornadoes. Short-term models develop
discrete cells this morning from northwest Texas into southern and
central Oklahoma. However, the exact timing is a bit uncertain. Once
initiation takes place, supercell development will be likely. An
isolated tornado threat, wind damage and hail will be possible. WW
issuance will likely be needed across the region.
 
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