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Severe POSS SEVERE WEATHER STARTING 05-17-2019 and BEYOND

Had quarter size hail in Greenville near where I work earlier today, then some pea to marble size hail briefly tonight at my house. Definitely an active day and 3km NAM indicating some more storms tomorrow, mainly in Eastern NC.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Not really, storms missed you today, other areas reported golf ball size hail and several mid level rotating mesocyclones, and damaging wind gusts
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Still less severe compared to other storms in Wake the past few years that happened when we're not under a watch. The tornadoes that happened earlier this month is a prime example.
 
Missed the concert but it was nasty. Just before my hail storm today the storm had a strong meso forming and a solid lowering.
 

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PEA_RIDGE said:
NOT EVERYONE IN THE WATCH WILL SEE SEVERE WEATHER!!!!!! IT MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE IN THE WATCH AREA IF A STORM GETS GOING
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I know that. My point has always been the storms around here the past few years end up being more severe when not under a watch versus when we are under a watch. I am talking specifically for Wake. The tornadoes we had earlier this month happened when we were not under a watch. It's been like that here the past few years.
 
Brick Tamland said:
I know that. My point has always been the storms around here the past few years end up being more severe when not under a watch versus when we are under a watch. I am talking specifically for Wake. The tornadoes we had earlier this month happened when we were not under a watch. It's been like that here the past few years.
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THEY COULD HAVE BEEN A "SHORT" STORM SAY SOMEWHERE AROUND 7-8,000 FT INSTEAD OF THE MORE USUAL ONES THAT ARE 30,000 FEET AND NOT DETECTED BY RADAR SO THERE FOR NO WATCH NOR WARNING
 
Brick Tamland said:
I know that. My point has always been the storms around here the past few years end up being more severe when not under a watch versus when we are under a watch. I am talking specifically for Wake. The tornadoes we had earlier this month happened when we were not under a watch. It's been like that here the past few years.
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Moderate risk with 12 confirmed tornados and an enhanced day today with 27 stw and 2 tornado warnings just in MHX zone. Hail reports of 2 inches in WAKE county and numerous big hailer. Impressive day.
 
Brick Tamland said:
I know that. My point has always been the storms around here the past few years end up being more severe when not under a watch versus when we are under a watch. I am talking specifically for Wake. The tornadoes we had earlier this month happened when we were not under a watch. It's been like that here the past few years.
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You can't narrow this kind of analysis down to one county and arrive at a meaningful conclusion. A watch covers a large area. At the very least, if you're going to develop a generalization, you need to generalize over the entire CWA.

Anecdotally, when looking at it in this context, that thesis may hold water. But it's just a guess in the end.
 
Brick Tamland said:
I know that. My point has always been the storms around here the past few years end up being more severe when not under a watch versus when we are under a watch. I am talking specifically for Wake. The tornadoes we had earlier this month happened when we were not under a watch. It's been like that here the past few years.
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Sounds like you are complaining. The next time you are under a TOR/STS watch, might just make up for the times you missed out. In the end, the likelihood is greater over a larger area when you are under a watch. You have been lucky so far. Be thankful.
 
The Euro is very interesting for this next weekend. Its not too common to deal with the chance of supercells and tornadoes in the south in June outside of tropical systems.
 
Arcc said:
The Euro is very interesting for this next weekend. Its not too common to deal with the chance of supercells and tornadoes in the south in June outside of tropical systems.
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I was talking about that earlier, definitely a run that made you think a bit, and now plus you got typical summertime instability unless there’s a lot of Convective debris
 
Arcc said:
The Euro is very interesting for this next weekend. Its not too common to deal with the chance of supercells and tornadoes in the south in June outside of tropical systems.
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ACCORDING TO NWS BMX THERE IS A VERY VERY VERY LOW CHANCE FOR ANY SEVERE WEATHER. I WAS TOLD IT WILL BE A RAIN MAKER
 
Yea tropical entity will likely bring lots of clouds....with low top convection... tornadoes of EF0 being most common. Heavy rain is the main threat.
 
Figured I would post this here since it’s not really the SE.

Really impressive looking storm on radar in the Texas panhandle. No confirmed tornado with it , but probably some very large hail and strong winds.
Edit: Actually was a 86 mph wind gust reported with this storm a few minutes ago.275D3571-5F4E-4AC2-8DC0-E4499D6FCB62.png
 
I wish we had a specific thread for general severe weather outside the SE. I guess this could be it, but I think the title should reflect it. Something like Severe Talk for Outside the SE. Or we could just discuss it in the monthly threads and have storm threads for specific SE threats. Whatever the administration decides, but I think it would be good to have it one way or the other. There is less to talk about with the SE in summer, so it is understandable why folks would want to discuss severe weather outside the SE. I just think we need to know where to do it, and if it is here then the title should reflect it to direct folks to the thread.
 
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