Heard it here too
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Severe October 23-25 Severe Potential
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Got a special weather statement for that rogue storm. Guess it wanted to start early.
This rain is heavy !
73/69 figure that we will see some dropping back of dews but it's hard to see down into the 50s. Sun is coming out as well
Poor rgem 
I was not expecting this much coverage before noon
Avalanche
Member
Had a heavy shower here. Surprised since its uniform stratus clouds. No cumulo or any cloud structure that would indicate a storm.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Maybe this rain will stabilize things for later. I didn't think we were forecasted to get this much this morning.
Probably overdone the hrrr is probably underdone tbh and we end up with something like the ARWs have
74/65 full sun dewpoints are over-performing the HRRR
RAH thinks threat decreasing
Appears as if the HRRR is slowly upping parameters, thanks to it slowly coming to
Realization that we’re not gonna mix dew points down to 55 degrees
Realization that we’re not gonna mix dew points down to 55 degrees
There are some flimsy low topped soundings with these storms, meaning it’s gonna be hard for stuff to show up on the 2-5km UH
Looks like there will be some leading cells today as shown on recent HRRR runs probably some decent tornado producers here with the main cells 
77/70 but starting to mix now dews to the S where the sun has been out longer and had more time to mix are in the low 60s. We will probably see our dews around here get into the low 60s then recover near/after dark. Interesting that the HRRR has an inversion this evening with a decent amount of cape on top and actually has more cape south of the line of storms it shows on the most recent run with ML capes near 750 and MUcapes over 1000
Mid level dry punch coming in is going to be a problem for convection this evening
Hrrr continues to uptrend parameters/MLcape this evening, but coverage is a issue like stated above ^ that mid level dry air however could increase thunderstorm downdraft strength 