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November 2025

US National Weather Service Wilmington NC


Now we can say it's *officially* official. The present weather sensor at the Wilmington Airport officially recorded "-SN", which stands for light snow.
Even better.....the first -SN observation showed up at 11:11 PM EST, so somebody's wish came true
😉
#ncwx
 
No snow for me last night. Of course, I got a lot of it at the house up in Boone (..just wasn't there to see it). Most important thing is I did get that hard freeze. I have five thermometers scatted around my property (weather nerd). They range from 29.8 to 26.1 degrees. Still got an hour or two to drop a little more. If I listen really hard, I can hear that last mosquito screaming a terrible death.
 
Had a low of 27 today at the house. Impressive front.

I'm so completely not with it right now that when I meant to put it in here, it ended up in the winter thread instead.
 
Sounds like most folks up in northeastern NC got a dusting of snow last night. Probably had a little enhancement off of Lake Gaston and Kerr
Friend of ours sent this Pic when he got to work at Caledonia this morning, about 8 miles east of the town of Halifax
1000006697.jpg
 
The great poster at AmericanWx, Don Sutherland, just posted this excellent table that shows how historically cold this morning was in the Deep South:

IMG_5304.jpeg

Related to this table, check out the huge # of SE record lows, especially Deep South:

IMG_5305.jpeg
 
More on the record cold specifically for my area: My city’s official low (KSAV) as of 7AM EST was way down to 28 F, which beats the 31 record low for the day (records back to 1874). Even the Hunter AAF base station, which is ~6-8 miles to the SE (closer to the ocean), was able to get down to 29.

Not only that but also:

-last time it was this cold or colder this early in season at KSAV was 1976

-colder than 78% of coldest for ENTIRE November

-last time it was colder in entire November was 2014
 
More on the record cold specifically for my area: My city’s official low (KSAV) as of 7AM EST was way down to 28 F, which beats the 31 record low for the day (records back to 1874). Even the Hunter AAF base station, which is ~6-8 miles to the SE (closer to the ocean), was able to get down to 29.

Not only that but also:

-last time it was this cold or colder this early in season at KSAV was 1976

-colder than 78% of coldest for ENTIRE November

-last time it was colder in entire November was 2014
I wonder what the winter of 76-77 was like.
 
Here are the progs for Nov 11th lows from the latest ICON/CMC/Euro/GFS/UKMET

1. GA
-SAV: 29/31/34/34/35
-NE ATL (Chamblee): 25/23/29/34/32

2. SC
-GSP: 23/21/29/27/29
-CAE: 28/32/33/32/34

3. NC
-CLT: 25/30/31/29/32
-RDU: 28/34/32/32/35

—————————
Average for each model for the 6 cities:

ICON: 26.3
CMC: 28.5
Euro: 31.3
GFS: 31.3
UKMET: 32.6

Any guesses for:
1. Which model for the 6 cities averaged out will do best?

2. Which model for the 6 cities averaged out will do worst?
———————

My guesses:
1. Best: Euro/GFS (tie)
2. Worst: ICON


Edit: I’m guessing that the average low for these 6 cities will be 30.5F.

Followup to the above based on lowest hourlies through 7AM (I’ll update this if any official lows turn out to be lower):

These appear to be the lows along with the model that was closest out of the 11/7 6Z GFS/ICON/Euro runs and 11/7 0Z UKMET/CMC runs:

SAV: 28/ICON
NE ATL: 28/Euro
GSP: 23/ICON
CAE: 29/ICON
CLT: 29/CMC
RDU: 30/ICON, Euro, GFS tied

-Avg of these: 27.8, which is significantly colder than my guess of 30.5 and lead me to be dead wrong with my prediction of ICON to be the furthest away!

-So, although the CMC was closest to only 1 of the 6, it’s average of 28.5 followed by ICON’s 26.3 were closest to the 27.8 actual

-UKMET’s 32.6 was easily the furthest

-So, ICON, alone, was closest to 3 of the 6

So, ICON and CMC did the best overall due to being the coldest while UKMET was the worst due to being the warmest
 
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I think we beat our projected low by about 5 degrees this morning. I’m sitting at 23 degrees. Forecast low was 28. How bout that for a November freezeView attachment 176446
And my low of 27 was 3 above my predicted low. Considering all the snow and record cold so many saw in the Eastern US, I feel like the kid who didn't get invited to the party. I got my first freeze and that's about all I can say for my backyard.
 
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