Epic rainbow here, one of the brightest I've ever seen.
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November 2025
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
Looks like this rain event might over perform .4 so far
Didn’t have a half inch of rain on my bingo card today.
Quite the over performer last night, 1.00 on the nose
NCSNOW
Member
We all take a artic plunge / early November style next Mon/Tues. Then look tranquil till we start the last week of November. Then it's winter from then on per CFS. Good times ahead.
NCSNOW
Member
Weak La-Nina's never fail to deliver the cold shots. But you have to have some blocking help from Atlantic to keep them locked in for a few days and improve the ole Timing window of opportunity.
Needles are always hard to thread in the south. But I'd rather take my chances with this, than sitting here watching Canada get blasted all winter with a pacific firehose.
Needles are always hard to thread in the south. But I'd rather take my chances with this, than sitting here watching Canada get blasted all winter with a pacific firehose.
if that ridge over greenland can't stick around this looks like how you get a clear-sky high of 50 and a high of 70 within a few days of each other this time of year. that's what the euro OP does on the 0z run, nothing to stop our (albiet stout) trough from slipping away and failing to reload with ridging nudging in from the SW and nrn atlantic blocking shifting eastward.
the EPS and AIFS ens keep 2m anom means down through the end of the week thanks to a secondary weaker trough rotating in, but i'd put low confidence on that until we figure out that greenland situation
the EPS and AIFS ens keep 2m anom means down through the end of the week thanks to a secondary weaker trough rotating in, but i'd put low confidence on that until we figure out that greenland situation
Bigedd09
Member
First freeze for many definitely looking likely early next week
Yeah, we can bloviate about epic Decembers all we want, but the reality is if this doesn't change that is going to be a struggle.
I definitely do not intend (won't say never lol) of falling into the trap of looking at the weeklies or these long range ensemble runs ever again with any expectation they won't change inside D7-10, because the reality is LR ensembles still suck - badly.
well hey that's not a bad trend with atlantic ridges trying to connect there lol
If only they'd fail this way all winter lol. Somehow, whenever it's the heart of winter they seem to always fail the opposite way.
We've seen quite a bit of ridging near Greenland over the last couple of months, but it definitely has lacked staying power.