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November 2025

This is the GFS long range model which is not reliable for two reasons: 1. This is eleven days into the future and 2. It is the GFS. I wouldn't go out and stock up on bread and milk yet although I would love to see this forecast pan out. It would be wonderful to actually see snow on the ground for my birthday which happens to be the following day.
 
wnc gonna see some fun stuff with this. i have a feeling (nothing more than a feeling) that there could be some intriguing mischief beyond the high terrain as well, even if that winds up being a 3" lollipop in wnc removed from the border
Yeah this is a compact but powerful punch coming into the region, with dynamic / forceful snows rolling into the Smokies. We won't get the upstate mesolow with this one, so unlikely to see a widespread area of light accumulating snow SE of the mountains, but we'll probably see some surprise, scattered areas of accumulation.
Nov 10 HRRR.gif
 
Yeah this is a compact but powerful punch coming into the region, with dynamic / forceful snows rolling into the Smokies. We won't get the upstate mesolow with this one, so unlikely to see a widespread area of light accumulating snow SE of the mountains, but we'll probably see some surprise, scattered areas of accumulation.
View attachment 176364
You talking like adjacent foothills or piedmont?
 
Nice streamer on radar between Dillard and Clayton IMG_5901.jpeg

Yep. Flakes falling at Sky Valley

 
Nice streamer on radar between Dillard and Clayton View attachment 176366

Yep. Flakes falling at Sky Valley

I'd be lying if i said i wasn't at least a little intrigued on northern upstate flurry potential from these little streamers setting up. got one off the snowbird mtns going thru far NE GA and into far NW SC, one coming off the pisgah ridge (transylvania/haywood line) and another trying off the black mountains. we'll see, but this was something even the euro/cmc depicted a few days ago before losing it as we got closer

1762798794543.png
 
does anyone off the top of their head know which short term model(s) did best in the areas that have already gotten most of their snow (e.g. chicago area)?
 
I'd be lying if i said i wasn't at least a little intrigued on northern upstate flurry potential from these little streamers setting up. got one off the snowbird mtns going thru far NE GA and into far NW SC, one coming off the pisgah ridge (transylvania/haywood line) and another trying off the black mountains. we'll see, but this was something even the euro/cmc depicted a few days ago before losing it as we got closer

View attachment 176368
It can make it down here occasionally. It’s tough but all you need is the exact wind direction and there is a path to victory. Albeit very small. I’ve seen it before though 🤞🏽
 
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