Pattern November 2024 💤 🔥

[weatherfide]

NAM and ICON at 12z today have very little rain on Thanksgiving in my area. Weird to see them go dry after depicting heavy rain and marginal severe weather, and so close to the event (72 hours).

 

[jackendrickwx]

was not hoping to see a SBcape map for thanksgiving afternoon

 

[FallsLake]

clipped out of RAH's long term discussion:
"It`s worth noting that the secondary fropa on Sunday should be a dry one, with the overall
sensible weather being cold and dry from Friday through Monday. If
Sunday`s secondary fropa would have more moisture to work with,
perhaps we`d be discussing p-type concerns, but for now it looks
dry."

18z GFS for mid-morning on Sunday:


After last year, I would call flurries a win.

 

[Triplephase93]

Ran ripping in Chatt. Doesn’t look like it will last long.

 

[NCSNOW]

Wet Turkey Update Triad: qpf from 7AM-2PM: Rooting for the 6z Icon, has zilch. Wettest I'm finding is about a tenth of an inch max on euro an Nam and they dont precipitate the entire 6 hour window. The Canadian short range is the wettest/outlier. GFS still lollygags with the moisture/front push. but is only a tenth qpf as well.

To my west, most likely Triad early evening time looks dry.

 

[Webberweather53]

You can’t always count on snow, but you can definitely count on severe weather in winter