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Pattern May-hem

The Euro has a rain hole over the Carolinas! Hope it's wrong!
 
Outflow boundary from the earlier storms along I95 probably going to kill the storms to the west

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Tarheel1 said:
The Euro has a rain hole over the Carolinas! Hope it's wrong!
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The GFS has a rain hole right over the upper SC and GA border area over to the GSP metro. Some areas in there only showing .25 over the next 16 days. I'm afraid the Monday storms set the tone for summer for our area. While most of us on here talk about how wet this summer is probably going to be, the 2 of us will be bone dry.
 
JHS said:
The GFS has a rain hole right over the upper SC and GA border area over to the GSP metro. Some areas in there only showing .25 over the next 16 days. I'm afraid the Monday storms set the tone for summer for our area. While most of us on here talk about how wet this summer is probably going to be, the 2 of us will be bone dry.
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FWIW - not much showing anywhere except FL for a week or so; 2 weeks out, with a grain of salt, looks OK (not great) for most (corrected my typo, which may have been Freudian - "mist" instead of "most" ... LOL) - dadgum rain ... :oops:
 
JHS said:
The GFS has a rain hole right over the upper SC and GA border area over to the GSP metro. Some areas in there only showing .25 over the next 16 days. I'm afraid the Monday storms set the tone for summer for our area. While most of us on here talk about how wet this summer is probably going to be, the 2 of us will be bone dry.
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We are still leaps and bounds ahead of last years disastrous summer of no rain for weeks and extreme heat. I think I heard this past drought update , had the least drought coverage since 2014, so that's awesome!
 
Tarheel1 said:
We are still leaps and bounds ahead of last years disastrous summer of no rain for weeks and extreme heat. I think I heard this past drought update , had the least drought coverage since 2014, so that's awesome!
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Well , Roberts FB post just crushed my dreams! Heading back torwards a cool, dry NW flow pattern, with very little rain chances ! :( , especially east of apps , in Carolinas
Say he hopes its short lived , but we kick ass at drought! I guess dry and below normal temps are better than nothing! :(
 
Tarheel1 said:
Well , Roberts FB post just crushed my dreams! Heading back torwards a cool, dry NW flow pattern, with very little rain chances ! :( , especially east of apps , in Carolinas
Say he hopes its short lived , but we kick ass at drought! I guess dry and below normal temps are better than nothing! :(
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We can do ok in a NW flow if the Lee trough gets active.

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SD said:
We can do ok in a NW flow if the Lee trough gets active.

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That's very true from Charlotte and Columbia and east, but the GSP metro gets extremely dry in a northwest flow because of downsloping. It can also make our area the hottest in all of the southeast because of the same reason.
 
May 2017 data is not in yet, but when it is, we'll compare it to 2016 and see how we're starting out versus last year!

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Arcc said:
Must be just the warmer night temps with the rain because the daytime temps areally not even comparable. It has been much cooler so far from someone who is outside all day every day.
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That is precisely why blanket "comparisons" in this realm can be very deceptive; very good observation! Once official data is released next month, I'll do a composite comparison using 12Z for both years (mid-day), and another using 0Z (middle of the night), and I'm betting daytime temps are far cooler this year versus last -- but data won't be available for composites for about 20 days.
 
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