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Pattern May 2026

rusrius said:
3.34 the last 24 hours and getting mucho dark again just to my west. Hopefully all of you will get your share as well.
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Finally scored some good rains here. 2.45 in inches so far today with 2 day total of 3.64...and i dont think im done yet with more building to my south. The runoff/rates have been impressive. I got about an inch yesterday in about 10 minutes..it was pretty wild to see it go from dry and dusty to having water everywhere in 5 minutes.
 
Bone dry today, just humid and cloudy. Sucks seeing all the storms back building along and just a few miles east of I-95 in SC. Really need to get those storms into the coastal counties. RRFS has a QPF of 0.1" from Charleston up through Myrtle Beach and about 40 miles inland through Wednesday. That's horrendous if we miss out again.
 
Maybe I‘m forgetting, but I don’t recall seeing even a drop of rain here since at least May 13th that is until earlier this evening. I finally got a few drops (a T) then and radar suggests I could get some more later. But prospects aren’t great for much more this evening. Regardless, things are looking up for the next couple of days and much of the week to come with an overall wet pattern.

I’m only at ~1.5” MTD. Thus I recently had resumed regular watering.
 
GaWx said:
Maybe I‘m forgetting, but I don’t recall seeing even a drop of rain here since at least May 13th that is until earlier this evening. I finally got a few drops (a T) then and radar suggests I could get some more later. But prospects aren’t great for much more this evening. Regardless, things are looking up for the next couple of days and much of the week to come with an overall wet pattern.
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Sounds like us. Counting yesterday we've had a grand total of 4 days with measured precip since 4/1.
 
The CAD wedge has been stubborn over the North Carolina Piedmont and is the reason rainfall totals have been paltry compared to areas to the south and east of us. It looks like it will be stuck in place for one more day and KRDU will have its third day in a row with a record setting minimum high temperature with little to show for it in the rain gauge. During the past twenty-four hours, no measurable precipitation has been recorded at my residence near lake Wheeler in Raleigh.
 
weather bubba said:
The CAD wedge has been stubborn over the North Carolina Piedmont and is the reason rainfall totals have been paltry compared to areas to the south and east of us. It looks like it will be stuck in place for one more day and KRDU will have its third day in a row with a record setting minimum high temperature with little to show for it in the rain gauge. During the past twenty-four hours, no measurable precipitation has been recorded at my residence near lake Wheeler in Raleigh.
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Exactly. I'm still at .28 since the pattern change to cool and wet. And no offense to @FallsLake for sharing the map, but if i had a dollar for every time the CFS ended the drought in the long range, we'd all be rich lol
 
RBR71 said:
Exactly. I'm still at .28 since the pattern change to cool and wet. And no offense to @FallsLake for sharing the map, but if i had a dollar for every time the CFS ended the drought in the long range, we'd all be rich lol
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Hey I agree...just the CFS messenger. I have the attitude of I'll believe it when I see it.
 
I am so frustrated right now. Everyone warned me about the rain totals, and they were right—the track has canceled the race two days in a row over a tiny drizzle. I spent an hour fighting traffic for a 35-minute drive, only to come home to a dry driveway. This is a brutal week to try to quit drinking. I am willing to bet anyone $50 that if I drive out to CMS again today, they will cancel it a third time, and my rain gauge at home won't even hit a quarter of an inch.

60° degrees here - wind from the northeast
 
JHS said:
GSP is now thinking the CAD hangs on into tomorrow and if does rainfall totals will have to be cut again up in NC.
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And then we could be looking at another CAD for next weekend. Many of us have stated "The one thing we do good with is CAD".

6z GFS next Sunday:
1779629515414.png
 
SD said:
Its brighter today than yesterday. Maybe we finally lose this curse
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You may very well lose it over there and maybe the Raliegh area will too, but it's stronger than ever from the upstate of SC up into the NC foothills and western piedmont and is not going anywhere fast.
 
Good disco from GSP: it makes sense and validates everything being tracked here

Mostly quiet conditions will persist through the bulk of today,
with frequent drizzle and a few isolated showers expected the first
part of the day. Can`t rule out a few afternoon thunderstorms,
though these would *most likely* be elevated in nature as the wedge
will persist for much of the day. The big question for Sunday
will indeed be: how much will the wedge erode, and how quickly?
There`s little remaining synoptic support, and guidance doesn`t
really depict any upper features that`d prompt any periods of
better upglide throughout the day. Without much rainfall to
support diabatic cooling, the only reason to think it`ll remain
in place is that there`s no discernible mechanism to scour it out.
Referring back to the "pea soup" analogy above, however, the most
likely scenario seems to be that some shallow afternoon mixing will
help to somewhat improve fog and cloud cover conditions again today,
but not enough to break the wedge-top inversion at most locations,
and therefore not enough to expose us to any good surface-based
instability.
 
Wedge breaking here… south Charlotte the sun is poking out
4bc9838c358f8e9b016625c33edcd223.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
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