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May 2021 Discussion Thread

The Summer Rainy season has finally arrived in S. Florida. Fast-moving boomer dumping .70" of rain at my location in about 15 minutes. Local Station only recored .23" (Hollywood Airport). My station doesn't have Dew Point, but Ft. Lauderdale measured 77 degrees. Upper Level Low is going to pinwheel vorticity maximas into the region as ridge nudges into the area. Upper Level Trough in Midwest is going to squeeze moisture out over the Southeast, but ridge will fill-in over the Florida Peninsula. Then all eyes turn to the tropical entity that comes out of Central and South America, and gets trapped in the Western Caribbean underneath the building ridge. GFS is picking up on the system as early as day 8, and the most recent run of the GFS illustrates the system deepening to 989. There's also another system that develop in the western Atlantic. 12z is spitting out over 24" of rain for S. Florida.

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