May 2021 Discussion Thread

[SD]

Stronger would mean stuck over the Arctic though , longer perhaps .

Semantics

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

3k pretty chilly for mid afternoon Sunday

View attachment 84441

This would be absolutely crazy for sure .. CAD always poking its head out at us ?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Yep not bad, some decent amounts in places that need it. Of course, there are those pockets that get little to nothing, hopefully those fill in over the coming days

View attachment 84442

Great coverage for sure and next week should help fill in the blanks... will help with creeks and streams tho

 

[LickWx]

The warm weenies already scattering like flies ? I love it

Take it to whamby . That’s all. I’ll let the mods take it from here

 

[SD]

Take it to whamby . That’s all. I’ll let the mods take it from here

Indeed, that stuff has got to go to whamby going forward

 

[Chazwin]

Yeah but clouds alone won’t keep temps at the absolute coldest possible for this time of year ! That takes rain. We shall see but from my experience it’s the rain that keeps it low not the clouds .

Yeah... even in that CAD a couple weeks ago, I was in the upper 40s while it was raining but as soon as the rain stopped it stayed cloudy and the temp still rose pretty quickly to 54-55

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I have my doubts about the NAMs they love over doing wedges, this seems far more likely

 

[ryan1234]

The warm weenies already scattering like flies ? I love it

Because it's not supposed to be 60 degrees on Memorial Day weekend. I was supposed to River Jam, now I am reconsidering. Hopefully, the wedge won't be as stout as some of the current modeling is suggesting.

 

[SD]

Because it's not supposed to be 60 degrees on Memorial Day weekend. I was supposed to River Jam, now I am reconsidering. Hopefully, the wedge won't be as stout as some of the current modeling is suggesting.

The last few memorial day weekends have had some sucky weather involved

 

[ryan1234]

The last few memorial day weekends have had some sucky weather involved

Yeah, but I don't think we ever had highs in upper 50's to lower 60's? If we did, I don't recall. I'd be fine with upper 60's to lower 70's.

 

[LickWx]

Yeah, but I don't think we ever had highs in upper 50's to lower 60's? If we did, I don't recall. I'd be fine with upper 60's to lower 70's.

As long as there is no rain I think we will be fine . Seems rain clears out before noon so here’s to hoping .

 

[SD]

Yeah, but I don't think we ever had highs in upper 50's to lower 60's? If we did, I don't recall. I'd be fine with upper 60's to lower 70's.

I doubt it's been that cool but I remember lots of rain outs

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Im honestly thinking Saturday has some decent severe wx potential soundings show lots of drying aloft and low wetbulb temps along with increasing deep layer shear

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s a weird mid level cap but still gets broken

 

[SD]

That’s a weird mid level cap but still gets broken View attachment 84449View attachment 84450

Oh man

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oh man

Hrrr has been waffling to, this is the farthest west it has been, nam has been consistent

 

[LickWx]

At RDU highs have recovered to average, even .01 above average for the month but lows are still running some 4 degrees below average! Big diurnal range . Month at -1.9 still.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Last run
This run

 

[SD]

Hrrr has been waffling to, this is the farthest west it has been, nam has been consistent

Wouldn't be surprised to see the marginal expanded west. These backdoor fronts especially if we get a full day of heating can perform pretty well

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Wouldn't be surprised to see the marginal expanded west. These backdoor fronts especially if we get a full day of heating can perform pretty well

Yeah I agree, I’m interested to see hrw Fv3/nam