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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

Henry2326 said:
Terrified would be the word Iwould use.....
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Yeah. From a meteorology hobby/professional perspective, when we throw around words like beauty for storms it is almost always terrifying at the same time. An ugly looking storm is a relief for those in its path. Praying for those in Laura's path today.
 
snowlover91 said:
Crankyweatherguy should NEVER be used for anything hurricane related. He is absolutely awful. He is calling this a cat 2 and saying it is weakening while pressure is falling and the storm is continuing to improve outflow, symmetry, structure, etc. He said Michael wasn't even a hurricane at one point and said it probably was a high end 1 or low end 2 at landfall. He's an absolute joke when it comes to hurricanes... just saying.

Regarding the warming cloud tops, this is quite typical in the process of a strengthening major hurricane and during the daytime as well when the cloud tops warm slightly. This storm is still strengthening quite rapidly as evidenced by the clearing eye and continued pressure falls.
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Speaking of cloudtops look at them now. Colder tops bursting around the center now. You also don't need to see pinks for it to be a strong hurricane. So long as its constantly firing and outflow gets better and the eye rounds and shrinks some it'll intensify more.
 
BufordWX said:
Looks like the first tornado warned cell associated with the far outer bands of Laura. Tiny little cell.View attachment 47372
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Yes, that's going to be passing just north of my location. I'm at the lower edge of the western side of the that box. I wouldn't be surprised to get some brief severe wx throughout today and tonight from the bands of rain.
 
Will Rossman said:
Yes, that's going to be passing just north of my location. I'm at the lower edge of the western side of the that box. I wouldn't be surprised to get some brief severe wx throughout today and tonight from the bands of rain.
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Being on the eastern side of the storm you will definitely have to watch out for any areas of rotation that develop.
 
What's an easy way to upload photos on this site? I haven't really done obs and pictures on this site for a real storm threat, so hopefully a more experienced member can direct me.
 
What's crazy is that the NAM and HWRF model runs from a couple days ago were shrugged off as model hype. But the current visible and IR satellite presentation looks very similar to what these models have been showing. I still don't think Laura gets below 910 or so, but that's still pretty strong.
 
tramadoc said:
I have personally witnessed what a 20’ storm surge can do when I was with FEMA in NY after Sandy. If you have evac orders, do it. If not, leave your info with someone who can get it to authorities after the storm passes in case you don’t survive.
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I have a friend from New Orleans whose family intended to ride out Katrina, but changed their minds when a police officer insisted that my friend's mom write her social security # on her arm in sharpie while he watched when she was stopped at a road block headed back into the city the day before it hit, after doing an errand in Baton Rouge.
 
Is there a reason the 12z models are initializing with pressure at 971mb?

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Hour 6 still has higher pressure than what it is now

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From Firsthand Weather facebook.....

"It's already beginning. Take note that these photos were taken in Golden Meadow and Leeville, Louisiana, well to the east of where Laura will actually make landfall. Also, this is already happening, even though Laura won't make landfall until late tonight. Sadly, what's shown in these photos pales in comparison to what's about to happen in southeast Texas and southwestern Louisiana. Photos shared by the Lafourche Parish Sheriff’s Office -Matthew"
 

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Will Rossman said:
What's crazy is that the NAM and HWRF model runs from a couple days ago were shrugged off as model hype. But the current visible and IR satellite presentation looks very similar to what these models have been showing. I still don't think Laura gets below 910 or so, but that's still pretty strong.
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Happens every time.....I tend to view them with a 15 to 20 point margin. If they are bombing still after I add 15 to 20 points, I go with it.
 
First time I’ve had a chance to look at IR since morning and shear may be just close enough to take a bite out of Laura before landfall. May not weaken it, but may be enough to stop strengthening. Have to wait and see.
 

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