Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

[Brent]

1. Unsurvivable storm surge with large and destructive waves will
cause catastrophic damage from Sea Rim State Park, Texas, to
Intracoastal City, Louisiana, including Calcasieu and Sabine Lakes.
This surge could penetrate up to 30 miles inland from the immediate
coastline. Only a few hours remain to protect life and property and
all actions should be rushed to completion.

 

[NoSnowATL]

145-150 at landfall per NHC. Damn

 

[Philstorm91]

Meanwhile, it's currently eerily calm outside, only very light breezes so far. I'm actually thankful this monster isn't making a beeline for Baton Rouge right now. Pressure on my gauge is actually steady, at 1010 mb.

 

[Henry2326]

BULLETIN
Hurricane Laura Advisory Number 27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
1000 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2020

...LAURA CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN AND IT IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, EXTREME WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING
EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST TONIGHT...
...ONLY A FEW HOURS REMAIN TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 92.0W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SSE OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SE OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES

In the last model run, the only ones left are:
EURO 940
HWRF 937.
HMON 932
NAM 12z 908. Was 895

I'm still with a cat5, 900-915 pressure.....
Wow....30 miles of surge inundation....

 

[ajr]

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Only good news we have is that Houston will be ok. This could have been much worse for our country.

 

[Rain Cold]

Guys, please put the funny images and gifs in the Banter thread, while we have a major hurricane bearing down on the LA coast. Thanks for the help!

 

[lexxnchloe]

Good thing its moving fast, might ameliorate inland flooding

 

[g0ldl10n]

1. Unsurvivable storm surge with large and destructive waves will
cause catastrophic damage from Sea Rim State Park, Texas, to
Intracoastal City, Louisiana, including Calcasieu and Sabine Lakes.
This surge could penetrate up to 30 miles inland from the immediate
coastline. Only a few hours remain to protect life and property and
all actions should be rushed to completion.

My god.. 30 miles inland seems insane.. is this normal or partly due to the speed at which Laura is traveling?

 

[Jessy89]

1. Unsurvivable storm surge with large and destructive waves will
cause catastrophic damage from Sea Rim State Park, Texas, to
Intracoastal City, Louisiana, including Calcasieu and Sabine Lakes.
This surge could penetrate up to 30 miles inland from the immediate
coastline. Only a few hours remain to protect life and property and
all actions should be rushed to completion.

Where is the source for this. This is like a Tsunami


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Philstorm91]

Only good news we have is that Houston will be ok. This could have been much worse for our country.

Yes, it's unlikely that Houston will get the worst case scenario we mentioned a day or so ago, of the eye entering Galveston Bay as a Cat 4/5. But I don't think Houston residents should go about as though nothing's happening. They'll still be getting some of that rain and wind on the west side at the current trajectory. And an East Texas landfall is still not out of the question.

 

[Snowfan]

Where is the source for this. This is like a Tsunami


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

It was in the NHC discussion. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/261452.shtml

 

[EmersonGA]

My god.. 30 miles inland seems insane.. is this normal or partly due to the speed at which Laura is traveling?

Take a look at at topo map of the area. It's one big swamp where 4' above sea level is high ground.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

1. Unsurvivable storm surge with large and destructive waves will
cause catastrophic damage from Sea Rim State Park, Texas, to
Intracoastal City, Louisiana, including Calcasieu and Sabine Lakes.
This surge could penetrate up to 30 miles inland from the immediate
coastline. Only a few hours remain to protect life and property and
all actions should be rushed to completion.

Luckily it’s a swamp area vs Houston.

 

[Philstorm91]

Take a look at at topo map of the area. It's one big swamp where 4' above sea level is high ground.

Yes, south Louisiana is actually more similar to Florida's topography. Our only somewhat decent hills are on either side of the Red River (in the upper part of Louisiana), and north of Baton Rouge, just below Mississippi state line. So when we get too much rain, everyone floods.

 

[Thor]

It's really interesting how some storms go days without an ERC and some barely form the first eye without immediately initiating an ERC.

The thing i like about tracking Hurricanes is the amount we still Don't know. I'm sure Webb has a logical explanation for most but the fact we still can't identify a Hurricane that will go through multiple ERC's. We still don't understand how they have the tendency to jump off of land and back over water at times, and how when close to landfall the compression of the bands can cause intensification, or deterioration depending on the storm. Winter storms kind of come down to cold enough and moisture. But storms like this have so many more forces at play. I think we do a better job now of understanding a models "wheelhouse", like the HWRF and a more powerful hurricane, but the variability and unpredictability are still there even in 2020.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Are there any live reporters along the immediate LA coast ? The closest I've seen is from Lake Charles. Maybe its too dangerous to be reporting from the immediate coast?

 

[Metwannabe]

Are there any live reporters along the immediate LA coast ? The closest I've seen is from Lake Charles. Maybe its too dangerous to be reporting from the immediate coast?

Yeah Lake Charles will be bad enough, there's nothing to really slow this down or weakening from the immediate coast to Lake Charles. Again it will basically be traveling over swamp land till then

 

[NoSnowATL]

Are there any live reporters along the immediate LA coast ? The closest I've seen is from Lake Charles. Maybe its too dangerous to be reporting from the immediate coast?

I’m pretty sure TWC will be moving farther inland after the updated forecast. The storm chasers better do the same with this monster unless they want to be stranded for a week or more.

 

[Snowfan]

483
URNT15 KWBC 261511
NOAA2 2213A LAURA HDOB 36 20200826
150200 2718N 09230W 7514 02456 9950 +161 +093 044076 078 056 008 00
150230 2717N 09229W 7514 02449 9936 +167 +092 041078 079 061 009 00
150300 2716N 09227W 7521 02429 9927 +162 +116 045080 084 060 009 00
150330 2714N 09225W 7528 02413 9915 +164 +121 048081 083 063 011 00
150400 2713N 09224W 7517 02414 9894 +174 +119 045079 084 064 019 03
150430 2712N 09222W 7515 02408 9896 +156 +144 045080 083 066 018 03
150500 2711N 09221W 7527 02380 9887 +148 //// 046089 090 070 014 05
150530 2710N 09219W 7518 02372 9866 +150 //// 049082 082 070 016 05
150600 2709N 09218W 7507 02367 9842 +153 //// 049082 083 076 017 05
150630 2707N 09216W 7517 02335 9819 +155 //// 051082 085 080 014 01
150700 2706N 09215W 7514 02317 9800 +151 +149 050090 093 084 010 00
150730 2705N 09213W 7517 02292 9776 +150 +146 049096 097 082 012 00
150800 2704N 09212W 7517 02262 9740 +156 +151 047098 100 083 015 00
150830 2703N 09210W 7512 02239 9697 +163 //// 044095 100 089 022 01
150900 2702N 09208W 7510 02206 9648 +178 +177 047079 088 094 009 00
150930 2700N 09207W 7511 02188 9606 +205 +168 061056 059 089 010 00
151000 2659N 09205W 7518 02164 9598 +202 +143 066049 051 058 007 00
151030 2658N 09204W 7518 02150 9585 +202 +144 073043 045 054 007 03
151100 2656N 09204W 7516 02142 9572 +202 +149 069033 038 035 006 03
151130 2654N 09204W 7526 02125 9574 +188 +163 059024 026 027 006 00

Pressure down to 957.2 mb.