18Z HWRF comes close to NC coast and makes landfall in Myrtle Beach (maybe just North) at Hr60. Then heads into central SC with ~970MB SLP and into N Ga 0Z Sunday (Saturday evening).
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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
pcbjr
Member
Tie me to the whippin' post, but yes
NoSnowATL
Member
If correct The UGA game Saturday night might be interesting... Run run and run some more. Thankful we are playing a high school team.
Grady Cook
Member
Swift herrien and Holyfield would be enough if weather is a factor
And we were watching each west or north wobble yesterday. Oh well.
pcbjr
Member
UF isn't until the end of October ...
ForsythSnow
Moderator
The HWRF seems to send Florence all through N GA with possibly TS force winds and good rain. Of course it looks like last year with Irma.
Yeah I checked the eps on that site for Buies Creek and about 50 hours of 40-50 mph gust, that will test some trees no doubt, 30-40 here with most in the low 30 range
Even with the stall and southwest drift Florence is still modeled as a formidable wind event for this area. Gfs and euro have sustained winds in the 20-30 range with gusts 40-55. I could see a wind distribution in this area similar to Matthew
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Kylo
Member
South it is on the GEFS today.
cyclogent
Member
So...out of all of last night's 0z models, which ones were best at predicting tonights actual 0z location? Those are my go to's right now.
pcbjr
Member
Does this help what you're looking for?
http://www.wxforecaster.com/runtorun/all.html
Hopefully ...
In any event, it's an easy find in our Wiki ...
Kylo
Member
Currently Florence is at 28N/68W. The closest of the 12z models was the UK at this time, 0z.
May be the ugliest Cat 4 storm I have ever seen.
Oh and by the way, I am not buying this stop right on the coastline, reverse thrust riding back perfectly parallel to the coastline before coming ashore in southern SC routine. Not for a minute.
Oh and by the way, I am not buying this stop right on the coastline, reverse thrust riding back perfectly parallel to the coastline before coming ashore in southern SC routine. Not for a minute.
pcbjr
Member
You haven't been at too many bars at 3:00 AM I take it ... LOL
Do you guys know any hurricane trackers or people that will be going live like the “blue shed” guy?
NoSnowATL
Member
Reed Timmer if you can handle him. I can’t
pcbjr
Member
#2
Actually, you're pretty correct, though I'm still looking at everything and not discounting a Larry surprise ...
Kylo
Member
Agreed! I would be surprised if it stalled that long too.
Snowflowxxl
Member
This storm has defied all logic so far, I wouldn’t be suprised by anything it chooses to do at this point. It’s making history.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Oh it could definitely be a lot uglier than this, Joaquin (2015) takes the cake for ugliest cat 4.