iGRXY
Member
Regardless of what the surface ends up showing, this is a big improvement imo. That western ridge looks a lot better, also
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry Machine Learning Mauler 1/30-2/1
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Regardless of what the surface ends up showing, this is a big improvement imo. That western ridge looks a lot better, alsoPawpawMawmawsnowlovers
Member
Is this good news for nw upstate
Out to sea. Big walk back from 12Z
Well ICON popped a low right off the tip of florida panhandle and a low right at sc/NC border.... but no moisture? What it showed should been a win for all... Can't worry much that the upper air did exactly what you wanted and you would had a boatload of moisture most likely
Elongating the vorticity west isn't winning its going to end up as a flat SE displaced wave.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Not a fan of that icon H5 pass. Doesn’t pinch off and stays positive tilt. That was a big step back from 12 and 18z imo
iGRXY
Member
Ends up stretching and leaving a flat wave. Sigh. Had early promise and went poof
Cary_Snow95
Member
That is the way we fail in this scenario. I worry much more about a late blooming low over it jumping nw
NAM and ICON @84 hours. The ICON never pinches it off and doesn't even neutral until it's way too late. 
iGRXY
Member
Good news - the google AI is fully on board.
The bad news - the icon just showed how things can turn bad quick by stretching the N/S too much, not pinching it off, and turning it into a + tilted turd
The bad news - the icon just showed how things can turn bad quick by stretching the N/S too much, not pinching it off, and turning it into a + tilted turd
18z euro is s solid blueprint for about 80 counties in NC. If you want a big storm here west of that this wave has to move west as a whole not get stretched out west. Stretching it just gives us a big positive tilt meh
Last edited:
Wouldn't matter, some will still think they know better what is needed to produce a storm. Some need to stop projecting to be honest, it's why I say back and listen more than anything
Closed contour up in PA..next
buckinbronco
Member
RGEM doesn’t appear to string it out so that’s good
New NBM is acceptable
I’m starting to wonder if steepening out west could be counterintuitive by making everything a big late on timing. Because we’re already at a disadvantage with the location of our northern piece dropping in. It seems we’re trying to do too much in a hurry
Stormlover
Member
NAM 
The longwave ridge and trough axis is a few hundred miles too far east, leaving little room for error. Late bloomers are always a tricky boom or bust situation.
The GFS is also going with the further west strung out look early on. Let's see what Ole Goofus can do with it from
here.
here.Cary_Snow95
Member
Differences between GFS and Euro are clear.
Wonder if the back up trend continues on the Euro.
BrickTamland
Member
GFS at 102.
rburrel2
Member
Headed right for the weathernext footprint. Almost there now
Bigedd09
Member
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I’m burying my head in the sand and taking this as a winning trend on the GFS..maybe if our trough is late enough it can work also 
BrickTamland
Member
Think the GFS is coming in further west.
GFS with a banger run. This is the way
BrickTamland
Member
GFS go boom?
Interesting trend.
iGRXY
Member
Shout out my hood lmao
Yes, that's more like it. Silly Germans.
GFS much improved over 18z gonna be a big hit eastern Carolina's
BrickTamland
Member
GFS is definitely further west than the last run for NC and SC.
Getting buried on GFS Kuchera
One more frame hang tight
One more frame hang tight
GFS knows ball. looking at MSLP it’s a textbook miller A
Holy COW!
And still snowing at this frame!
And still snowing at this frame!
