RDU and down into the Sandhills have a foot by 10am on Saturday.
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Wintry Machine Learning Mauler 1/30-2/1
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Bigedd09
Member
It’s coming together everyone!
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Packsox03
Member
Bro, we got NAM’d
NBAcentel
Member
still think the NAMs are to dry here, especially for the western areas, where the precip is driven off mid-upper level forcing and the meso-low. I’m sure it’ll come around
Packsox03
Member
Dry bias since the update
Yeah, as great as this run is for the Triangle, it’s a disaster for Charlotte. Seems unlikely.
Bigedd09
Member
NAM has really been taking off with the costal low and was very weak with the upper low for areas back west. Interesting trends that may cut totals back west
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Nerman
Member
NBAcentel
Member
That’s a strange one… something seems off here 
Bigedd09
Member
Not saying this just because it’s better for my area, but I’d much rather have the rgem on my side than the NAM. But that’s just imo. We shall see what the RGEM shows here in a little while
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NBAcentel
Member
What a great model!
Bigedd09
Member
It’s absolutely clueless and playing catch up
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Trash. The flopping it does is diabolical.
Packsox03
Member
It’s still dry on the precip is the crazy thing. 39 hours of snow for Raleigh and 15 inches on kuchera?? If it actually snows that long (it won’t) we’re pushing 2 feet probably
NBAcentel
Member
Have a feeling this is about to fill in to match consensus 
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Yea not a fan of how we’ve started to go back to the Dominant Coastal weaker ULL look Fro….. we can’t score from that back our way
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NBAcentel
Member
But it’s strange how most other modeling makes it work with both except for the NAMs. Something to keep a eye on I guess
WxBlue
Meteorologist
"For the event, WPC probabilities for at least 8 inches of snow are >50% from the Blue Ridge/Smokeys eastward across most of NC and half of SC and along the VA/NC border. Eastern NC has the highest chances (30-50%) of at least a foot of snow, depending on and band placement. For context, some locations may see snowfall amounts not seen since the 1970s/1980s (e.g., Feb. 1973, March 1980, or Dec. 1989) and could be a top ten event snowfall."
Quote from WPC
Quote from WPC
Packsox03
Member
The 06z ICON is headed towards another crushjob, similar to the 00z run.
NBAcentel
Member
NBAcentel
Member
Rgem coming in hot 
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Yea, I do feel like we’re kind of drifting back towards some of those big dog runs from Tuesday though if coastal keeps popping. Be cool if it could pop on the coast even 75 miles would help us a ton to get both ULL AND Coastal
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NBAcentel
Member
RGEM final amounts 
Cad Wedge NC
Member
That looks realistic and more in line with other guidance.
The difference between the 00z and 06z NAM/3km is astounding in Central NC. With more costal influence, that is where the boom potential lies. I also noticed the UL feature did not dig south as much on the 6z runs, at least it appears that way.
bud006
Member
Waking up to see a Winter Storm Warning for my location for 2-4” of snow and 35 mph winds, six days after an Ice Storm Warning. What an end of January!
Anxiously awaiting the AFD from FFC. Not published yet on the app or the webpage.
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Anxiously awaiting the AFD from FFC. Not published yet on the app or the webpage.
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JQPublic
Member
Winter Storm Warning for all of central N.C. now.