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Pattern JUULY 2025 Smokin Heat Thraad

KSAV today had a high of 100. The HI peaked at 112. That’s the first 100+ since 6/23/22 and the first 100+ in July since 2019.
 
Interesting cloud movement on visby today still some kind of convergent axis in the wake of the weak meso low sneaking down toward Sampson county. Wonder if it fires up more today
 
SD said:
Interesting cloud movement on visby today still some kind of convergent axis in the wake of the weak meso low sneaking down toward Sampson county. Wonder if it fires up more today
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Not if it's the feature you mentioned, but widespread storms have formed in 2 separate places already. One from east of Charlotte to south of Greensboro, the other from near Myrtle Beach up to Rockingham.
 
There’s a sudden popup heavy thunderstorm that just formed only a couple of miles from me. It’s hard to tell whether or not it will spread out or generate others nearby to give me rain. The other possibility is for it to move toward me although I’m leaning against that right now based on subtle hints and H5 model progs suggesting it might move to the E. Regardless, steering winds are very light and flash flooding is a concern for wherever it lingers.

1:20 PM update: initial cell drifted away but it lead to more developing including at my location. Temp plunged from 92 to 80 within just a few minutes in the rain!

3:30PM update: I received only ~0.05”. Temp rose back some but only to 82 thus far.
 
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Nothing here again today and not expecting anything right through the next few days. We may as well have a 0% pop here. I still would not be shocked at all if that front never comes below I-40 leaving many of us in the heat right through the weekend.
 
It's coming into NAM range now and the cooler air is delayed. It's coming in from the NW now and that means the mountains will hold it up. Sat will be another hot one in most of NC and SC.
 
JHS said:
It's coming into NAM range now and the cooler air is delayed. It's coming in from the NW now and that means the mountains will hold it up. Sat will be another hot one in most of NC and SC.
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Actually the 6z Nam is the coldest model out there at hr 18z Saturday. Still think most of NC stays in the 70's Saturday, probably more due to NE winds, clouds. You need the backdoor front to jackpot and stay below 80 for a couple days.

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It's time to cut precip chances and issue more heat advisories today in the GSP area. The HRRR is almost completely dry over both Carolinas today, even the mountains. The 6zGFS finally has a clue on precip showing 2-3 inches over a large area now, but with one small area that stays much drier and it's right over me. It just cannot rain around rain around here again, I guess.
 
I'm not sure how far sout the front will actually get. Thinking that most of NC stays in the 80s through the weekend, except mountains and maybe foothills. Still, it should feel really good compared to the horrible weather of late.
 
Rain Cold said:
I'm not sure how far sout the front will actually get. Thinking that most of NC stays in the 80s through the weekend, except mountains and maybe foothills. Still, it should feel really good compared to the horrible weather of late.
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It's all about how much sun we get. If it's cloudy and rainy much of NC might have a problem reaching 70. If Sat and Sun are sunny days many of us see 85 to even 90 no problem.
 
GSP officially broke the 90 degree day streak yesterday at 39 straight which is pretty major. During that stretch; since June 21, it reached 100 twice and 95 or greater 17 times, which is also a lot. The current monthly temp is 83.1, which is just one tenth lower than the all time hottest July ever, which was July 93 at 83.2. The hottest month ever was August 07 at an astounding 84.7! But basically saying; this has been one of the 3 hottest months ever at GSP, and now the longest stretch of consecutive 90 degree days ever. And this has happened without drought conditions. This is historic.
 
Well, the widespread 3-4 inches of rain for tomorrow through Sunday is long gone now just like I know it would be. Some of us will not get a drop with this. We are already 5 degrees over our forecast for today now and I fully expect this to continue. GSP is already talking about heat advisories for tomorrow and Friday too. They will eventually happen and I would not be shocked if we get 2 more shots at 100 at GSP.
 
These storms rolling through the coastal plains tonight are downright scary. Continuous rolling thunder for a half hour before they got here then LOTS of CTG lightning throughout. Big nasty bolts either streamers in every direction.

Sitting at 10.26” for the month. May eke out a bit more before midnight.
 
I had 8.25” of rainfall in July. That’s a bit above the average of ~6-7” for the area. Most of this fell just during July 9-13. The hottest I saw on my thermometer was 98.7.
 
ChrisAMB said:
These storms rolling through the coastal plains tonight are downright scary. Continuous rolling thunder for a half hour before they got here then LOTS of CTG lightning throughout. Big nasty bolts either streamers in every direction.

Sitting at 10.26” for the month. May eke out a bit more before midnight.
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In those storms that rolled off your area and along the caoe fear region yesterday morning produced 421 strikes in 15 minutes apparently.
 
Avalanche said:
It’s been great sleeping weather.
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My alarm for work goes off at 5:05am every day. I wouldn't know lol.

Looks like the heavy stuff finally shifted south of us and will get the southern beaches. That's fine I've had plenty of rain for the last 2 days. I'm sure this put me well over 3 inches in 36 hours
 
Shaggy said:
My alarm for work goes off at 5:05am every day. I wouldn't know lol.

Looks like the heavy stuff finally shifted south of us and will get the southern beaches. That's fine I've had plenty of rain for the last 2 days. I'm sure this put me well over 3 inches in 36 hours
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Yeah I’m like 5 miles north of you and since I’ve moved down here I have never seen so many frequent afternoon thunderstorms since I lived in Florida.
 
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