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Pattern June’s Drought Dialogues

SD said:
Euro had 5 straight 100s for much of the area
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With as wet as we are and the max evapotranspiration this time of year that kind of pattern can lead to some dramatic local differences. I remember 2023 when we had a really wet stretch followed by heat actually getting a chill driving through a well shaded swampy road with the windows down in my old Jeep. The sunny areas dry out and get HOT but the wet shaded areas stay even cooler than they otherwise would.
 
An area of pop up thunderstorms, some heavy, is moving in to this area from the SW this evening.

Edit: The overnight total here was impressive (~1.3”). MTD through AM of 6/18: a wet ~6.65”.
 
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We had another popup heavy shower just now.

Edit: It was shortlived and gave me only ~0.15”.
 
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"Rebuilt" is being very generous to USDOT/NCDOT. Still a lot of work needed to bring it back up to standards. As often as that road has closed since it was originally built, you have to wonder at what point you abandon it past Mt. Sterling to the TN line and send everyone up and over on 26.
 
This is going to be an impressive heat wave building in next week over the Carolinas and Georgia. The Raleigh NWS office has three straight days of temperatures at or above 100 degrees during the middle of next week in their forecast. I haven't checked the climate data for next week but it is a good bet that there could be some record highs and maximum low temperatures coming up.
 
weather bubba said:
This is going to be an impressive heat wave building in next week over the Carolinas and Georgia. The Raleigh NWS office has three straight days of temperatures at or above 100 degrees during the middle of next week in their forecast. I haven't checked the climate data for next week but it is a good bet that there could be some record highs and maximum low temperatures coming up.
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I guess for some areas it might be impressive but looking at the 10 day forecast I don’t see anything over 93 in Savannah and the hottest I see in Jacksonville is also 93. Just normal summer weather really.
 
18.69 rain total since 5/1. We have averaged .37 per day for the past 50 days. Our area is like a swamp, 30 mph wind gust brings down numerous tress because the ground is so saturated. I’ll take a heat wave as opposed to this pattern.
 
Been a pretty good trip to Blue Ridge, GA, but the bad part about this is the heat that’s coming is going to hit with a sledgehammer since I had a couple days off from it being in the 90s.

We came at the right time though pre heat wave, as the storms helped us lose 10 degrees in comparison to home. Next week, and it wouldn’t have been the case, with the heat even reaching up to here (90 degrees).
 
The highs in the area were 93-95. But that tells only some of the story as the dewpoints/RH made it feel like ~100-102. I had to go into a house whose AC is broken. It was 91 inside and this was at 8PM. I was soaking wet within 5 minutes!
 
Rain Cold said:
The EPS has several days in a row of 100+ in the Piedmont. That's impressive for an ensemble mean several days out. Pretty rare air here.
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I actually think RDU has a shot at 107 based on the fact it has been exhibiting a 4F warm bias the past month. Based on H85, Tuesday looks to be the warmest day. GFS has woke up to the warm potential now. Widespread 100-103F looks possible, and tack on 3-5F more for RDU because it resides in it's own microclimate.
gfs-deterministic-nc-t2m_f_max6-0809600.png
 
You beat me to it; here's the point and click for them; pretty incredible; especially considering what we're facing. I'd happily trade.


This Afternoon
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Snow level 9700 feet. High near 39. West wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Snow before 7pm, then rain showers between 7pm and 8pm, then snow after 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 25. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 10 to 15 mph increasing to 19 to 24 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
Saturday
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 28. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 20 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 14 inches possible.
Saturday Night
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 26. West wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
Sunday
Snow. High near 30. North northwest wind 9 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Sunday Night
Snow likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Monday
Snow likely before noon, then snow showers likely after noon. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Monday Night
A chance of snow before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 30. c
 
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