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July Surprise!

Shaggy said:
That's cool that we both ended up with 1 inch totals after the screwjobs we have seen over the last month.
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The NC screw job stands at one now I guess. Haven’t had a daily total over 0.50” since June 16th. Yep, what summer thunderstorms? We just get leftover anvil stratiform.
 
blueheronNC said:
The NC screw job stands at one now I guess. Haven’t had a daily total over 0.50” since June 16th. Yep, what summer thunderstorms? We just get leftover anvil stratiform.
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I did get around .25" last night so that ended the no rain streak here but yesterday the hi res models had several rounds of storms over me today and this morning almost nothing today...NWS still has us at 70% though so we shall see.
 
After all the thunder and lightning between 4pm and midnight all I got was a lousy .10”. I must have some kind of [mention]metwannabe [/mention]dome over me.
 
Downeastnc said:
I did get around .25" last night so that ended the no rain streak here but yesterday the hi res models had several rounds of storms over me today and this morning almost nothing today...NWS still has us at 70% though so we shall see.
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Debris clouds and lingering shallow convection ftl. I think we still get good to widespread coverage this evening but it will either be waiting for outflows or a loosly organized band moving in versus our areas bring the initiation point
 
1.44" In the initial round of heavy thunderstorms up until 4pm. Then 3 or so hours of backside stratiform rain, bringing the total to 2.14"

Then another round of steady medium / sometimes heavy rain, and had me up to 2.83" Totals as of 7:50am when i left for work, but it was still raining. I think i'm approaching 3" storm totals myself. Walked the trash out this morning, and the ground was squishy...

I'll take my ban if needed....
 
Today looks solid south of I-40, cooler temps aloft (even with poor lapse rates) May allow tall storms (50+KFT to get some hail) along with the typical steep 0-3km lapse rate/high Dcape/high instability driven damaging wind threat, there will be a increased amount of flow today so maybe some weak organization, need these clouds to go
 
I know its summertime storms, but its really amazing how localized theyve been. Still looking for rain while Jordan Lake area is soaked.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Today looks solid south of I-40, cooler temps aloft (even with poor lapse rates) May allow tall storms (50+KFT to get some hail) along with the typical steep 0-3km lapse rate/high Dcape/high instability driven damaging wind threat, there will be a increased amount of flow today so maybe some weak organization, need these clouds to go
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Honestly I’m worried about getting enough instability. It’s been pretty overcast at times this morning and temps are not jumping up at all the way they have for the last week or so.
 
ryan1234 said:
Meh, it's only 10. Per satellite, we should some clearing before too long. If it were, later on, I'd agree.
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You’re probably right. I guess I was a bit disappointed to miss out on the fun yesterday. I do think that just about all of us in the western and central Carolinas should get something beneficial over the next couple days.
 
ryan1234 said:
Meh, it's only 10. Per satellite, we should some clearing before too long. If it were, later on, I'd agree.
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Yeah the southern half of the cloud deck is eroding quick. Starting to get some new CU growth back toward the foothills too. Its getting easier to make the case storms fire along 40 along the differential heating boundary then progress south through the afternoon/ evening
 
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