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Pattern July Fry

Its kind of crazy how the models have gotten so extreme in that day 6-14 range. EPS mean backing down 5 degrees for July 4th is IMO pretty significant but maybe I am expecting too much. Feels like we have seen this quite a bit since about 2020 where we get these eye popping cold/snow/rain/heat means that gradually regress toward average. I would expect volatility in the ops but the means doing this is weird.
 
ChrisAMB said:
Euro AI really wants to turn on the seabreeze storms in ENC/NESC starting around the 7th or 8th run after run. Not sure if it's reflecting climatology or a real pattern. I don't think we've had any seabreeze storm days yet this year. We've had westerly outflows interact with the seabreeze and blow up into showers but not the pulsing type we'd normally see in summer off the boundary itself as it moves inland.

Even in our worst drought years July seems to pull through at least most of the time. So we shall see.
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Typically these heatwaves tend to breakdown with a bang around here. I remember several pretty nasty severe events occurring when the heatwave breaks.
 
Triple digits have been removed from my 7 day NWS forecast. Nice.

And going to the beach this weekend and the high is 90. :cool:
 
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