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Misc Jukin June

Per Allan Huffman this morning:

https://twitter.com/RaleighWx
Screen_Shot_2017-06-11_at_8.22.33_AM.png
 
Obviously somewhat pending on the evolution of the potential for tropical cyclogenesis in the NW Caribbean, Yucatan Peninsula, and Gulf of Mexico in association with the Central American Monsoon Gyre, the southeastern US looks to be wetter than normal for the next few weeks or so...
eps_tprecip_10a_nc_41.png
 
Obviously somewhat pending on the evolution of the potential for tropical cyclogenesis in the NW Caribbean, Yucatan Peninsula, and Gulf of Mexico in association with the Central American Monsoon Gyre, the southeastern US looks to be wetter than normal for the next few weeks or so...
View attachment 583

I ain't complaining!

Those poor people in the Midwest though...
 
I could do without the wet weather for one more weekend. Its still early to say for sure but if it storms when I go to Tennessee next weekend....:mad:

Other than that... Let it pour, let it pour, let it pour. Keep the high heat away. Looks like more normal stuff for June is coming, keep it that way.
 
If anyone is interested in the tropics, in Wiki under "Tropical Weather" > "Tropical Models" are some great links to discussion and models; my favorites (FWIW) are the FSU models, the Central Florida Hurricane Center, and My Florida Hurricane (site currently inactive and being rebuilt - but stay tuned!), before a storm actually "forms".
Wiki is ready when you are, and is a lot friendlier than an airline, as well! :cool:
 
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You folks in GA want some rain? ...

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I'll take that!! I was thinking if it forms right off of the Yucatan area, and Bermuda ridge is strong as modeled, it would be forced Northward, and this could totally be plausible !
 
It'd be on a weekday soooooooo......

Let. It. Pour! :)

Any hurricane conditions you may get, I'd hate for your sake though. :(
 
I'll take that!! I was thinking if it forms right off of the Yucatan area, and Bermuda ridge is strong as modeled, it would be forced Northward, and this could totally be plausible !
so long as no big winds - none of us need that ... ;)
 
Obviously somewhat pending on the evolution of the potential for tropical cyclogenesis in the NW Caribbean, Yucatan Peninsula, and Gulf of Mexico in association with the Central American Monsoon Gyre, the southeastern US looks to be wetter than normal for the next few weeks or so...
View attachment 583
wetter than normal also means cooler than normal because more of the suns energy will be used evaporating moisture rather than raising temperature. please correct me if that is wrong
 
wetter than normal also means cooler than normal because more of the suns energy will be used evaporating moisture rather than raising temperature. please correct me if that is wrong
more cloud cover ...

ever stood outside after a mid-day summer rain when the sun comes out and evaporation starts? hot, hot, hot and sticky ...
 
more cloud cover ...

ever stood outside after a mid-day summer rain when the sun comes out and evaporation starts? hot, hot, hot and sticky ...
of course i knew cloud cover is cooling for the surface by blocking the sun, my point was on the sunny days the heating wouldnt be as strong.
 
wetter than normal also means cooler than normal because more of the suns energy will be used evaporating moisture rather than raising temperature. please correct me if that is wrong
Agree. This is the opposite of drought begets drought. More soil moisture means more available moisture for interactions with fronts, disturbances and just pop-up afternoon storms. Loving summer so far!
 
A 995 mb low pressure system in land. Was it a tropical storm before hitting land?
 
That CFSv2 tho! Dec-Feb winter looking great for many on here!! Looks like 09/10 kind of look to me! What could be wrong! :)
 
While its fun looking.at ling range winter forecast, its nonsense also to think its 100% accurate. Now the LR forecast are good for a right direction in some cases but this far out, not likely.
 
That looks like a broad-brush global warming forecast with a hint of El-Nino thrown in for good measure....rubbish if you ask me.
I agree with you . Those maps are iffy at best. I feel the same in the winter when they are showing much below in the southeast. I believe computers have input in those though that might be just on the weekend
 
Oh I know you were just relaying what you saw. I didn't misread you. We are on the same page...... Keep posting away.
I am a bit nuanced, perhaps satirical, and somewhat indirect in my posts at times (more often than sometimes/at times, actually), but that's intended; I hope folks will evaluate and think and not just blindly "rely" on what someone says or what a model shows (especially if I say it - but that also goes if anyone says it (except perhaps Webb)) ... and I hope to more than every once-in-a-while pose the challenge of thought and analysis in a post, as it teaches us all, me especially ...
Enough soap box ...
 
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GSP has bumped highs here into the low 90's pretty much from tomorrow on until Sun and cut the chance of rain by 10-20% late in the week. Not going to feel good with all the humidity that will be around. Thankfully still no REAL heat in sight though.
 
GSP has bumped highs here into the low 90's pretty much from tomorrow on until Sun and cut the chance of rain by 10-20% late in the week. Not going to feel good with all the humidity that will be around. Thankfully still no REAL heat in sight though.
Looks pretty good to me
 

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I agree with you . Those maps are iffy at best. I feel the same in the winter when they are showing much below in the southeast. I believe computers have input in those though that might be just on the weekend

Funny how you can make a map or statistics dance anyway you want it to...


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