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Pattern Januworry

GSO is at -2.3 for the month. Amazing after first 3 days really. We went above seasonal climo on the snowfall. One of the best January's in a while no doubt.
Think we get 2 more shots at a winter storm between now and Feb 20. Not sure how Feb 20-3/15 will take shape to close out. Feb/March is usually when we get the big dog if theirs one to be had. Honestly was just hoping to avoid a shut out back during the Holidays. Just shows you never know long range. Every time you think you have a good pulse, idea, Mother nature throws a new pitch we never seen before.
 
We Have to be careful or we may need a warm sector thread for the Feb 2-4 system. ? Pre frontal convection is in question along with just how much instability is present. But a stout QCLS looks to be in store
 
NCSNOW said:
GSO is at -2.3 for the month. Amazing after first 3 days really. We went above seasonal climo on the snowfall. One of the best January's in a while no doubt.
Think we get 2 more shots at a winter storm between now and Feb 20. Not sure how Feb 20-3/15 will take shape to close out. Feb/March is usually when we get the big dog if theirs one to be had. Honestly was just hoping to avoid a shut out back during the Holidays. Just shows you never know long range. Every time you think you have a good pulse, idea, Mother nature throws a new pitch we never seen before.
Click to expand...
Good post. Yes, it's been cold for the Triad. I thought we would start to snap out of the is pattern by now but the staying power is unreal. Are we looking at a very warm March...maybe? There will probably be a few more systems to watch and potentially a big dog to really shake up the pattern.
 
NCSNOW said:
GSO is at -2.3 for the month. Amazing after first 3 days really. We went above seasonal climo on the snowfall. One of the best January's in a while no doubt.
Think we get 2 more shots at a winter storm between now and Feb 20. Not sure how Feb 20-3/15 will take shape to close out. Feb/March is usually when we get the big dog if theirs one to be had. Honestly was just hoping to avoid a shut out back during the Holidays. Just shows you never know long range. Every time you think you have a good pulse, idea, Mother nature throws a new pitch we never seen before.
Click to expand...

For the period January 15-30, 2022 vs normal in addition to three wintry events in portions of the SE:

GSO and RDU -7
Huntsville, GSP and Hogtown -6
CLT, BNA, CAE and SAV -5
BHM, CHA and ATL -4

The MJO has been almost entirely inside the left half of the circle since January 15th:

CB1C3AAB-B990-40BE-950B-14BCB4AC62A6.gif


January at ATL based on 40 years (ignore the 1978):

865C4599-08CD-403F-A5DD-70A13B931FAC.png

So, January 15-30 was a textbook cold period vs averages for the MJO in that location, which is pretty much the coldest location for the MJO during January in the SE US averaged out.
 
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Pretty nice warm sector albeit small. May be a robust severe weather corridor in south MS/AL and Louisiana.Screenshot_20220131-144827-601.pngScreenshot_20220131-144744-961.png2022013118_NAM_075_31.55,-89.89_severe_ml.png
 
Hey mods, I may make a thread by tommorow for severe weather if things hold or a spc outline is shown.
 
Day 3 marginal risk lol. Things don't look at impressive yesterday as they do today. From a quick glance atleast.Screenshot_20220201-045808-758.png
 
KATL managed to finish .3F below average, remarkable considering the beginning of the month. There was a trace of snow on five different calender days.
KATL
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KPDK (NNE side of town)
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Cartersville (NW metro) @EmersonGA
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Blairsville (1883') @DixieBlizzard
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Home
Average High: 50.9F
Average Low: 31.9F
Total Snow: 2.1"
1643723535339.png
 
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