Pattern Januworry

[NickyBGuarantee]

Down to 22 already I see rah has HRJ at 12 tonight. We gonna cold

What Sun melt moon will freeze .. I expect tomorrows impacts to travel to possibly be worse than today in the morning at least

 

[BHS1975]

Down to 22 already I see rah has HRJ at 12 tonight. We gonna cold

Dews will keep it from going much lower than 20.


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[Hypsometric]

I hate to be the bearer of bad news but BUFKIT only gives RDU 14”

That BUFKIT output is wrong. From 165 on the sounding supports snow - and the Kuchera map and weathernerds methods appear to line up with the soundings.

As an example, look at hr 174. BUFKIT gives no snow, but the sounding is definitely snow. BTW - look at the possible hazard type lol.

220130/0000Z 174 34024KT 32.4F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.631 17:1| 11.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 3.22 85| 0| 15

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I guess that’s one way to do it

 

[Myfrotho704_]

18z eps looks much more improved

 

[BullCityWx]

That BUFKIT output is wrong. From 165 on the sounding supports snow - and the Kuchera map and weathernerds methods appear to line up with the soundings.

As an example, look at hr 174. BUFKIT gives no snow, but the sounding is definitely snow. BTW - look at the possible hazard type lol.

220130/0000Z 174 34024KT 32.4F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.631 17:1| 11.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 3.22 85| 0| 15

View attachment 109807

Now that I hadn’t seen. Wow!

 

[Hypsometric]

Now that I hadn’t seen. Wow!

As an addendum, I forgot to actually enter RDU for the sounding location. The coordinates I clicked on are actually just east of Raleigh. So inadvertently (stupidly) I only proved my point further lol.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yeah this EPS run would have probably been the best one yet even tho there’s still whiffs, I’m staying up tonight for the 00z run this is already under day 7 now….

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Yeah this EPS run would have probably been the best one yet even tho there’s still whiffs, I’m staying up tonight for the 00z run this is already under day 7 now….View attachment 109812View attachment 109813View attachment 109814View attachment 109815

Exactly where we want it right now.


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[DixieBlizzard]

Yeah this EPS run would have probably been the best one yet even tho there’s still whiffs, I’m staying up tonight for the 00z run this is already under day 7 now….View attachment 109812View attachment 109813View attachment 109814View attachment 109815

Thats a very nice trend. Looking forward to the 0z suite of globals.

 

[brendan123]

Wow, that's a pretty strong signal this far out with a 24 hour 4 inch snow mean over the Delmarva... hits some areas of Virginia mostly skipped over by today's storm. Obviously shifts will happen and likely this will shift west as the ensembles amp up, good to see ensemble support

 

[Chazwin]

So I’m already down to my forecasted low… 21 degrees

Edit… GSP has already adjusted it down to 17

 

[deltadog03]

So when does the mutiny on the other regions in then SE start for next weekend? Lol

 

[Chandler]

View attachment 109816
View attachment 109817
Wow, that's a pretty strong signal this far out with a 24 hour 4 inch snow mean over the Delmarva... hits some areas of Virginia mostly skipped over by today's storm. Obviously shifts will happen and likely this will shift west as the ensembles amp up, good to see ensemble support

I’m going to assume that it’s because one member dropped 40” on that location

 

[Ollie Williams]

I’m going to assume that it’s because one member dropped 40” on that location.

3 actually.

 

[Ollie Williams]

The 18z GFS has a pretty ideal placement of the WAR. Very similar to January 2000.

 

[jjwxman]

Hahaha! I just saw the 18z GFS.

Currently 18 degrees just east of Randleman.


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[DixieBlizzard]

The 18z GFS has a pretty ideal placement of the WAR. Very similar to January 2000.
View attachment 109821View attachment 109822

Forgive me but with regard to the WAR, I don't see it. I was thinking to myself that just a little SER to steer this thing would be nice though. Not happening though.

 

[BullCityWx]

It just hit me that I’ve seen it snow on Sunday, Monday, Thursday and Friday in the past calendar week as of tomorrow. I don’t know that I can say that has ever occurred.

 

[Branch]

Can y’all give some love for the Texas to Bama to Georgia folks? Feel like every storm threat ends up being over taken by North Carolina folks!