Verbatim, there’s not much of a warm nose. However, I don’t buy any solution that predicts 36” unless it’s under 60 hrs.
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Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Usual caveats about model wind maps
Storm5
Member
For the record . We are not starting a thread for this potential system until at least 12z Monday .
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Not really support from the GEFS however of a system digging that far SW
The reason there is not much of a warm nose is because the system is so dynamic that the upward motion keeps the column cold… that’s actually the same thing that happened with the ‘93 Superstorm for CLT metro… the changeover to snow occurred as the low was moving directly overhead
Still thought looks like a good amount of hits and a good amount of just barely missed type of storms.. definitely great at this range .. everyone is still in the game on this one
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Well, that was a crazy run.
I don't think 36"+ happens in NC, but there have been players on the field for something to happen here.
If a bomb happens, it'll probably be further NE.
maybe it can bomb out and give DC some rain in the process instead of snow
I don't think 36"+ happens in NC, but there have been players on the field for something to happen here.
If a bomb happens, it'll probably be further NE.
maybe it can bomb out and give DC some rain in the process instead of snow
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Info on what DT thinks about upcoming systems in the middle of the article. If anyone cares at all here it is.
ya, its weird *from what I have looked at* there is really no support for this op solutions.
In all seriousness if you are watching these runs and thinking “am I getting punked” the answer is no. i think we’ve seen enough op run nukes + ensembles supporting essence of the idea to call this legit. There is top tier echelon potential here. Goes without saying this is a huge fish to reel in and the SE is a small boat, but will be fun to see where this goes!
packfan98
Moderator
The 18z GEFS has the western ridge and eastern trough further east than the operational. The signal is there, just too far east on this run it looks like to me.
Batman
Member
Toss every model run 7 days out if you are expecting verbatim results. Sun angle??? In January??? Our temps have been generally below average for 3 weeks...In January... Worried about soils temps???SMH
Next weekend has been showing the potential for something big somewhere in the SE for awhile. It is now getting within 7 days. It's not a slam dunk. It never is for the SE. But, it is certainly worth our attention.
YVille1128
Member
I think he was being sarcastic. I think he's a believer in the big picture potential.
Having two 1"+ snows from separate systems less than a week apart at Charlotte and some other places hasn't happened since way back in January of 2000, well before most wx bbs existed! That's how special this week has been.
Yeah, the GFS has snowfall rates of 3 inches an hour. Warm ground ain't doing squat lol.
It was sarcasm guys.....Good grief.
The GEFS is nada for here with a few good members for NC. Hope its wrong.
The GEFS is nada for here with a few good members for NC. Hope its wrong.
Stormlover
Member
in a good spot
3.67 QPF and ONLY 31.7”?? Come on GFS.
Y'all really thought iLMRoss was serious about soil temps, etc? Come on, recognize the member that is making the post and then read a little further and you will see clearly. Wow
We’ve dropped seven degrees since the sun went down.