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Pattern Januworry

@GaWx what's the CFS showing?

Been watching the long range GFS and the ridge over AK has been wanting to roll over forward and send a trough back off the NW coast and the pattern comes apart. Hopefully, that's a temporary thing.
 
GaWx said:
In retrospect, it has been hinting at this incredible cold and wintry pattern!

More from 18Z GFS on this epic fantasy:
View attachment 106207
This doesn’t even include the ice well beneath it!
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Larry, I believe if the mjo can stay out of warm phases, we should remain cold into February. Currently, we have more like an niño atmosphere with convection around dateline from what I understand
 
Epic cold SE HH GFS means tossing not an option! Maybe 1984-5 not so crazy an analog from the chilly Nov to mild Dec to frigid Jan along with similar ENSO. Also, the similar ENSO 1933-4 and 1971-2 both had a frigid shot mid to late month with single digits ATL and RDU. Both of those had a cold Feb with a near boardwide type of winter storm in Feb of 1934 and Feb of 1972 was very icy, esp in main CAD region:

D69C1075-F56C-4B86-88EE-4A68FC0A1686.png
 
GaWx said:
Epic cold SE HH GFS means tossing not an option! Maybe 1984-5 not so crazy an analog from the chilly Nov to mild Dec to frigid Jan along with similar ENSO. Also, the similar ENSO 1933-4 and 1971-2 both had a frigid shot mid to late month with single digits ATL and RDU. Both of those had a cold Feb with a near boardwide type of winter storm in Feb of 1934 and Feb of 1972 was very icy, esp in main CAD region:

View attachment 106219
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Here ya go to compare '84-'85 ... works ...

cd98.180.247.169.14.16.31.21.prcp.pngcd98.180.247.169.14.16.32.6.prcp.pngcd98.180.247.169.14.16.32.30.prcp.png
 
wow

jteakvd.gif
 
Rain Cold said:
Hard to even know what to say. When is the last time we've seen this kind of pattern? I'm serious, I can't recall. Hopefully, it moves forward.
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I don’t post much here or the other board anymore but I can say I don’t remember seeing anything like this. And I’ve been on these boards a long time. Lol!
Hope you’re doing well!
 
rduwx said:
I don’t post much here or the other board anymore but I can say I don’t remember seeing anything like this. And I’ve been on these boards a long time. Lol!
Hope you’re doing well!
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Good to hear from you, my friend. All is well here. Post away man. And I don't remember seeing anything like this either, not for the duration being forecasted anyway.

We're going to be burning the midnight oil over the next couple of weeks.
 
GaWx said:
18Z GFS cold through the end fwiw. No, I will not beg for it to end if this is real. I’ll never get sick of it. I hope it stays cold with no end in sight! Here’s to a cold Feb and March, too!

View attachment 106247
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Larry,
That +PNA is the chicken wire and duct tape holding this whole thing together ... just gotta hope the frail ol' southern "fix" holds ...
Phil
 
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