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Pattern Januworry

Downeastnc said:
This will happen I get rain every one else west of me gets hammered, that low location is usually jackpot for me though....

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Yeah that's money. More snow east. Low gets cranking and the column crashes. Love the big high dropping in. A smidge sooner and it's a snow party for everybody. Classic, classic setup.
 
KyloG said:
Tough finding an analog for this. 2009 maybe?

Seems like we are seeing models with a ph7 pattern and hopefully ph 8.

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How about a blend of Jan 2009 and 1996? Hoping we can create our own new favorite analog :cool:

vog7yGy.png
 
Ollie Williams said:
Weatherbell map. Second best run all season!
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Cold Rain alluded to this but this map indicates a late bloomer with such heavy totals like that in those locations. I am guessing much of this in NEGA/SC would be mixed with sleet in a Miller B scenario. The big dog from the other day showed something similar but not as late so the biggest snow totals were further SW. If this bloomed a bit sooner it would get more peeps in the game for big snow, but it might also run the risk of over amping and cutting. Always such a tap dance around here to get one just right. Obviously this is a fantasy map but it is great to see the models continuing to show potential after the 13th, and especially after the 16th. Everybody stay tuned and keep those fingers and toes crossed!
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
Cold Rain alluded to this but this map indicates a late bloomer with such heavy totals like that in those locations. I am guessing much of this in NEGA/SC would be mixed with sleet in a Miller B scenario. The big dog from the other day showed something similar but not as late so the biggest snow totals were further SW. If this bloomed a bit sooner it would get more peeps in the game for big snow, but it might also run the risk of over amping and cutting. Always such a tap dance around here to get one just right. Obviously this is a fantasy map but it is great to see the models continuing to show potential after the 13th, and especially after the 16th. Everybody stay tuned and keep those fingers and toes crossed!
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Looked at thermals. It’s more than supportive of snow in the upstate. In fact it’s very cold through the column and would support ratios probably closer to 15:1
 
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