Pattern Januworry

[accu35]

Chance for some strong/severe weather tomorrow before the front?

 

[ATLwxfan]

There’s not really a cold chasing moisture Situation to me. Cold is there and energy is all around. I can see if a front was coming through for cold chasing moisture but this is a different look to me.

Maybe I was thinking about this but marginally cold at best.

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[Snowfan]

Teleconnections page is working again.

 

[accu35]

Maybe I was thinking about this but marginally cold at best.

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Oh its cool lol. I get what your saying

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Getting a slower amped trend seems to happen every time when a storm is over us, but when it comes to a trend that would put us in jackpot, we can’t buy a amped/NW trend for ----

 

[jackendrickwx]

RDU dropped to 21

 

[tennessee storm]

Getting a slower amped trend seems to happen every time when a storm is over us, but when it comes to a trend that would put us in jackpot, we can’t buy a amped/NW trend for ---- View attachment 102693View attachment 102694

Close but no cigar …

 

[LukeBarrette]

I like DT…where did he post it?

Youtube

 

[accu35]

TT likes to skip frame

 

[KyloG]

Just watching these model runs going back to Christmas Day in terms of pattern progression, they waffle around, as expected.....some ok, some good, some excellent. The overnight runs were in the excellent camp (00z EPS, 06z GFS, 06z GEFS). EPS finally showed some good western ridging and was colder. Pac Jet progression and Aleutian Low maintenance - all very good. The models have remained consistent over the past 4-5 days in showing the best pattern beginning to setup in the Jan 17-18 timeframe. Hopefully we see more model runs in the excellent camp instead of the ok camp going forward.

Saw someone post this photo on Twitter this morning. #9 at Augusta National (maybe from late Jan 2014?)

Tough finding an analog for this. 2009 maybe?

Seems like we are seeing models with a ph7 pattern and hopefully ph 8.

 

[Stormdoc]

Hmm GFS is trying…

 

[Rain Cold]

View attachment 102697
Hmm GFS is trying…

Needs to try a lot harder. Plenty of time though.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Needs to try a lot harder. Plenty of time though.

Not a bad trend. Just not seeing a ton of cold air with it which is sort of a head scratcher. Maybe if we can send it negative and close it off 500 miles further west we can have a shot..

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Really like where this is heading about to setup a cold lakes vortex just need southern stream cooperation

 

[CaryWx]

Tough finding an analog for this. 2009 maybe?

Seems like we are seeing models with a ph7 pattern and hopefully ph 8.

View attachment 102696

The CoD is ok but back to a low ph7 almost ph6 by 18th-22nd is not favorable

 

[Chandler]

Bout to get a fantasy storm at 240 on the gfs

 

[Ollie Williams]

Bout to get a fantasy storm at 240 on the gfs

Classic look

 

[Broken024]

Incoming maybe?

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Downeastnc]