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Pattern January Joke

BourbonLumberjack said:
I'm not really paying attention to next weekend's storm yet, but the deep snow pack that will be laid this weekend over the vast majority of the Midwest and Northeast will certainly help to keep the storm track on more of a southerly route than what we are experiencing with the current storm.
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With the upcoming cold following our mess this weekend, that snow to our north isn't going anywhere before next weekends system comes through.
 
Still a very impressive mean on temps from the both the EPS and GEFS this morning. If we can’t line up some precip in this stretch then we truly do suck. Pretty nervous about it

IMG_6107.pngIMG_6106.png
 
NEGaweather said:
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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This insane 6Z GFS would triple the modern day record (back to 1870s) of biggest snowfall in this area and would be the biggest since a similar one on March 3, 1837. Suffice it to say, the odds of this 10.3” day 8-9 snow (on ~1.1” qpf) coming even close to verifying are infinitesimally low. Only 8-9 days of NW trend to deal with lol.

For the record/entertainment:

Snowfall:
IMG_7468.png

Qpf:
IMG_7469.png

2m temps 1PM on 1/31:
IMG_7471.png

850 temps 1PM on 1/31:
IMG_7470.png
 
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GeorgiaGirl said:
The Euro has honked a little bit (and may have had one run that was just plain crazy, idk for sure), but as of today, it's suppressed.

Which would normally be okay, but we remember what occurred with late January last year...
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If it is suppressed at this time I'm good with that. Just tend to believe the gfs is on acid with it's hallucinogenic print outs at range sometimes
 
Ross said:
for what it's worth i'm completely over "long" storms. i think it's an internal rule of mine now.

what i mean by that is i am over storms that show up in long range models as long, zonal stretches of precip from texas to north carolina

this weekend is the most egregious example, but that shape never pans out. it happened last year too. a kink in the line forms somewhere and if it's too far out west, it raises heights to the east and the jig is up. no more.

shooting this preamble off to say, refreshing to see a clipper and a coastal out here. known entities.
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You referring to the stalled (off the coast) cold front kind of deal where a wave forms and moves along with less hair-loss predictability. :)
 
KyloG said:
Good lord...not again...it's already too far north. It needs to be showing snow in Cuba.

What does BAM think? Probably coming north...

View attachment 188027
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It’s gonna be a repeat of last year it’s gonn get so cold it pushes it down to Florida and they get a blizzard and get more snow than all of us combined the past 10 years
 
tempo47 said:
It’s gonna be a repeat of last year it’s gonn get so cold it pushes it down to Florida and they get a blizzard and get more snow than all of us combined the past 10 years
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Nah, it would be that type of air mass like last year
 
well it's far enough south that we might still stand a chance with the north trend. But man that is pretty.

btw, if you look at the winds...there would be blizzard conditions.
 
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