Guys they all have it. Let’s make a pact not to cliff dive when it gets lost for 4-5 cycles outside of the AI models
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Pattern January Joke
- Thread starter SD
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CNCsnwfan1210
Member
tractor girl
Member
It's gotta be like this minimum 4 days out on the Euro before I get the least bit investedWell, I just thought yesterday’s run looked good. View these nsfw ensemble pics at your own risk.
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NCWeatherNow
Member
Also December 2018
JHS
Member
This one may very well nail the CAD areas if not much of the board. Having cold air here ahead of time is the big thing here. If it's not snow it could be our long overdue icestorm.
Classic Miller A setup there and most of the board would be happy with this.
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AI’s have it. You’re safe. Barring something totally wrecking the overall macro pattern
I do like the ensemble support. But it's the GFS. Show me this on the Euro for several runs that's not 10 days out.
Bark woof
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
It's what we've been missing chasing nickel and dime all winter. Y'all not allowed to track this run to run though. For your sanity I'd just check back in about 5 daysThe big ones show up early
That certainly takes the edge off the current disappointment. Pray it holds! Reel it in!
trackersacker
Member
I do remember this about December 2018The big ones show up early
Analogs will be 2026
That would be like making a hole in one on all the par 3’s and shooting 64. The 64 is great, but you missed out on all the fun along the way
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
MY GOAT DECEMBER 9-10 2018
Tsappfrog20
Member
Completely agree we’ll be tracking this the whole way
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Tsappfrog20
Member
rburrel2
Member
It’s getting spooky guys. 9 runs in a row? It’s also like a 23degree storm every time…
I've been doing this a long time. Since about 2009. I was probably a bigger weenie than some of the biggest weenies on this board from about 2009 to about 2015. But those were good times here minus 2011/2012. After that I got burned so bad and learned so much I rarely get excited. Even Dec 2018 was a long tracker but I was so close to the rain the whole time it was hard to get excited. But, I will say, the pattern coming up from the 26th thru the 30th really has my attention. With a special emphasis around the 28th. Let's get it folks!
NCWeatherNow
Member
Im curious as to why no one is showing the EPS 
Remember: even in the best of patterns, the best of storms, the best of whatever; There will always be a loser. It may wind up a good southern snowstorm, but somebody will come away bitter
Stormlover
Member
Why are you commenting on here then?
rburrel2
Member
Euro ai threw in a bonus hr 174 snow for fun.
I have discovered quickly it's more fun when you aren't a forecaster for the potentially affected region, ha
rburrel2
Member
Ya’ll this looks like an hr36 trend loop???? Not an hr 240-264 trend loop. How can it be this steady? Unbelievable
That’s only like a week away… literally. Would be crazy.
NCWeatherNow
Member
I cant help but notice that the qpf is dropping
We will have to page JB for that. He is the analog king. And Powerstroke is the
They look like a beaut from over here, Clark.
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To me the tendency to keep lower heights in the 50/50 region throughout the loop, and keep a signal of a west based -NAO is a game changer. The Pacific looks good and the STJ seems to show signs of life. There is nothing to hate there.
That’s a positive. Get a crack at more than one storm and get the cold air pressing south quicker
SnowNiner
Member
We got grumpy on board guys, it must be real! lol I agree I’ve never seen anything like it and I can’t tag anymore wow emojis. Just crazy pattern modeled.
I do notice the footprint is the same but it’s trended lesser amounts. I wonder if it’s less of a southern stream modeled, a bit drier. Either way as long as the ensembles keep showing pretty pinks and purples we good.
Lets just say the plows are getting ready just in case and salt spreaders are as well
rburrel2
Member
There are no words for this.
Also, there’s like a one inch mean for the day 7/8 threat!
Also, there’s like a one inch mean for the day 7/8 threat!
EPS is improving. More blocking into Baffin. More 5050 low. Western U.S. ridging backing up. More dig with the trough thru the Miss RiverIm curious as to why no one is showing the EPS
Lol I had just created a gif of the same thing. Seems to be following the same general progression. Surface looks good as well for a smoothed mean
My word, we couldn't ask for a better look on the MJO charts for the end of winter, EMCF is similar.
SnowNiner
Member
It’s amazing how strong the Canadian ridging is pushing the tpv just north of Maine. It’s just got to be cold and troughy in the east with that look.