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Pattern January Joke

EPS AI looks more wet/active week 2 in a workable pattern....🤷‍♂️

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Yeah maybe the East Pac Low can send some waviness thru the weaker western ridging here near month end and get some systems running a bit more west to east instead of NNW to SSE over a tall western ridge. Jet is nice and extended here, albeit a touch poleward. No tropical forcing issues seen. Just gotta ride with what we got and hope we get episodic high pressure to our N / NW and try to time it out with a wave / storm

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Yeah maybe the East Pac Low can send some waviness thru the weaker western ridging here near month end and get some systems running a bit more west to east instead of NNW to SSE over a tall western ridge. Jet is nice and extended here, albeit a touch poleward. No tropical forcing issues seen. Just gotta ride with what we got and hope we get episodic high pressure to our N / NW and try to time it out with a wave / storm

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That split flow really looks good to me, with with the flow south of us. The snow mean is crazy good this far out as well. With high pressure constantly to our north in this set up perhaps our goalposts are a little wider than usual to close the month. Completely different than this weekend's sadness.

The AK sea low does remind me of early December though where waves kept cutting the western ridge down, sending the cold and the storms to our NE. Never quite getting south enough. Hope we don't have a repeat of that, and like you said perhaps some southern vorts push through the ridge. That's quite a split flow shown verbatim.
 
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