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Pattern January Joke
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Ron Burgundy
Member
Not sure I would change much on todays model runs being 4 days out...this a pretty good spot for many on the board.
Thread.... if it fails, take your shots
Jan. 17-18, 2026 SE Winter Weather Threat
First possible board wide threat in forever or nah? In other words, do we RAGE or do we ditch Mitch? Let'er rip and reel it in!
southernwx.com
vanilla title i was expecting more from the men behind the curtain
I'm not clever enough, plus I'm old so.....
last 5 runs of the Euro in the Pacific centered on Friday morning. slow and steady trend and doesn't look it's done yet either.
ChattaVOL
Member
rburrel2
Member
My two cents, but there’s hardly any difference at 5h between the euro and gfs, especially as the event begins.
The gfs just simply has a better/more aggressive qpf response than the euro.
If we get that exact 5h evolution I’d bet my life savings the euro is too dry right now on the northern edge.
The gfs just simply has a better/more aggressive qpf response than the euro.
If we get that exact 5h evolution I’d bet my life savings the euro is too dry right now on the northern edge.
Just like Webber stated this morning on the globals horrible at handling this.
This may come down to the short range models anyway
Stormsfury
Member
Right now, I think the answers lie somewhere between the 12z GFS/Euro in regard to current depictions. BUT where that REX Block sets out out west and we may likely not have a good handle on that until Friday, also once when the s/w in question gets over Alaska and Canada.
NBAcentel
Member
Btw the CMC ens, which it’s OP has been lackluster for 
bncho
Member
Euro definitely trends the shortwave west early, but there’s no space for it to turn neutral/negative because of that northern stream kicker in the upper Midwest
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
We have a new thread for the event! Don't forget that before you post in here
tractor girl
Member
Weekend (potential) storm discourse should shift to the dedicated thread:
Leave this one for what comes after
Jan. 17-18, 2026 SE Winter Weather Threat
First possible board wide threat in forever or nah? In other words, do we RAGE or do we ditch Mitch? Let'er rip and reel it in!
southernwx.com
Leave this one for what comes after
Yowza! Euro popping out some bangers for cold.
SnowNiner
Member
With the blocky -AO the Euro is showing the next 2 weeks, this is the time frame for the western piedmont IMO. -NAO, and PNA together should really help us get some amp on a vort, and keep it south (and CAD blast us).
Light Rain, has reached the Coast..
CURRENTLY->51º
Rain
Today's high 57º(Early this Morning)
Today's low 46º (Just after 1AM or so)..
humidity 73%
dew point 42.8º
rainfall, (SO FAR)-> 0.03 inch
pressure 29.99 inch
Wind(s) outta the West @ 3MPH..
CURRENTLY->51º
Rain
Today's high 57º(Early this Morning)
Today's low 46º (Just after 1AM or so)..
humidity 73%
dew point 42.8º
rainfall, (SO FAR)-> 0.03 inch
pressure 29.99 inch
Wind(s) outta the West @ 3MPH..
SegTindo
Member