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Pattern January Joke
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Let’s rage….
ah ah jk 
2026...the year the PV decides to visit Atlanta because why not
Euro weeklies provide some hope of a breakdown of this deep rooted pattern we are about to go into. 
Bigedd09
Member
Euro weeklies were honestly pretty darn good with this warm up. I remember people posting them saying hopefully they’re wrong but they were good with it
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They were. Meant to mention that in the post above. I wanted to ignore it so bad, but it will end up verifying
Despite warmup Charlotte will still likely end up NN for Dec. Main warmth 12/23-8. ATL likely slightly AN. RDU/GSO likely slightly BN.
Brent
Member
Yeah it's pretty crazy the record heat is gonna verify
Most of the extreme stuff since I've been here that was hyped to death fell apart haha. The hype probably hasn't verified since before I was here in 2021
Most of the extreme stuff since I've been here that was hyped to death fell apart haha. The hype probably hasn't verified since before I was here in 2021
A strong Jan SPV has been progged by the EW for 2 weeks and they usually have had a good idea of what’s to come:
Strong SPV during cold/snowy periods in SE include:
Jans of 25, 22, 18, 16, 00, 96 (00 cold/snow last half of Jan)
-Feb of 96
Strong SPV during cold/snowy periods in SE include:
Jans of 25, 22, 18, 16, 00, 96 (00 cold/snow last half of Jan)
-Feb of 96
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy
Member
Just shows how the warmth always dominates. Month starts one of the coldest on record, then near normal afterwards, then 5 days of warmth completely erases the cold departures. Unbelievable, but not really
Warmth doesn’t always dominate. Examples: Jan’s of 2025, 22, 18, 14, 11, 10, 03, 96, 94, 88, 87, 85, 84, 83, 82, 81, 79
Feb of 15, 10, 04, 96, 80, 79
Dec of 10, 09, 05, 03, 02, 00, 95, 93, 89, 85, 83, 81
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NBAcentel
Member
Nice winter storm on the AIGFS around D10, bowling ball/50-50 low and blocking, from the eye the upstate/western Piedmont gets crushed lol 
NBAcentel
Member
This is worth a archive
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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Would be a big for CAD regions. Not to be taken seriously but it is evidence that we can still score in a crappy pattern
NBAcentel
Member
AIGFS tried its best Feb 2004 impression 
How many times has this shown up now, 2?
NBAcentel
Member
Yeah last nights run showed something although a different look, but around the same timeframe
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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Having a hard time remembering when was the last time we have had a bowling ball look...
Can anyone recall? Jan 3 2022?
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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2017-2023 Supporter
That was really an underrated event. Nice tone setter storm for the rest of that January. Very dynamic.
tennessee storm
Member
That’s way it works. Warmth
Long range always verifies, cold not so much
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy
Member
While certainly not always I certainly hope there are more below average Februarys since 1979 than that? If not that kinda lines up with warmth mostly dominating. If there aren't more even using January as an example thats only 17 of the last 46. While certainly better if I was betting money I'd lean warm and win more often than not. Either way there are probably many more like this Dec that had the potential to be solidly negative that were wiped out by a short but intense torch. I was mainly saying a 5 day torch can completely erase the rest of the month being below average. We'd almost never have a chance to pull off the opposite. If we start a month +8 or so for the first 10 days there isnt much chance of cold being extreme enough to wipe that out.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
That's a big ice look for mby
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Don’t want to spend my 2 weeks off chasing pattern changes! Giddy up! 
Today’s Euro Weeklies weeks all trended warmer than yesterday and AN for most of the US. No trending toward a +PNA mid-Jan like yesterday. Yesterday’s had NN in SE 1/12-2/1. One of the worst runs this season and hopefully coming days will reverse.
How many times can we say “it can’t be much worse than this”
NBAcentel
Member
3rd run in a row with the AIGFS showing that SE Canada vortex/ULL setup. Would love to see guidance trend to this. It’s not a easy thing to time but man setups that have timed it right in the past, did it bigly 
The Weeklies never really showed the cold that we saw the first half of the month though. They were continually showing AN for period that ended up well below
Correct me if I’m wrong but isn’t that pretty much what happened in March 2009?
The big ones always come after near 80's.
You on that Cracknogg
8 years later and still no “Jimmy January”
*sigh*
*sigh*
Oconeexman
Member
- Joined
- Jan 2, 2017
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I vote for it! You got that mojo8 years later and still no “Jimmy January”
*sigh*
If i get more than 3 inches of snow this January ill name all 3 winter months after you next year8 years later and still no “Jimmy January”
*sigh*
NBAcentel
Member
interesting trend around Alaska in the shorter term, rolling over the ridge from the Aleutians, might result in colder trends later on 