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Pattern January Joke

That’s split flow heaven along the west coast with cold TPV pressing down. Leave the southern wave alone and let it cook. It’s the “good” El Niño pattern

View attachment 187581
If blocking isn't strong enough or doesn't hang around, well, we know the drill.
 
I know one thing come Sunday night into Monday morning roads are probably going to be treacherous even in the Birmingham-area I hope people remember that
 
AI’s have something in the vicinity View attachment 187357View attachment 187356

I’m afraid we’re just getting started

That's about right where we want it at this lead time. I'm literally driving to VA beach to go on a cruise Feb 1. Guaranteed I get snowed in CLT.

That’s split flow heaven along the west coast with cold TPV pressing down. Leave the southern wave alone and let it cook. It’s the “good” El Niño pattern

View attachment 187581

Agreed! For the love of all that is holy, NO BAJA LOWS or phasing!!!
 
South Central Alabama left out as usual I would say pretty good chance this verifies
I absolutely LOVE where we sit with this one here in South Central Alabama! Can’t ask for a much better look at this range. Plus, with the snow/ice pack up north combined with a continued supply of Arctic air….Yum!!!!
 
We need to keep the other thread going as long as possible so this one stays quiet! We will have snowpack to our North, isn't that helpful to keep temps in check? Tracking these systems is what's so fun anyways.
 
At this point, I'm not even going to give it any credence at all. Too many damaged hopes from what was supposed to be 48 hours out. It sucks to suck
I try to think the same thing, but by being here, we are giving it some credence. One thing stands out to me for the end of the month; it will likely be very cold for much of our region.
 
A timing thing ⏰
Speaking of timing. You have a good memory /fascination with winter wx over the years. I've experienced this a few times throughout the years, where we get into patterns and they get a rhythm giving us winter wx on the same day of the week or weekend , for consecutive weeks in a row. Last one I remember was Jan 2022 I believe. We kept getting small 1-2 inch events for like 3 straight weekends. Had it happen twice back in the 80's, late Feb/March of 2013.
Could we be getting into one now perhaps? No way to tell until you look in the rear view mirror. But when I see what's happening on the LR outlook for Feb and this next weekend threat. Makes you start to wonder.

By middle of next week:
I will have seen it snowflake/ no ice 4 separate times allready
Been through a major winter/Ice storm
Possibly record a 0/sub zero low for the 1st time in forever.
Only thing missing will be a true Blue all snow / miller A winter storm. eclipsing annual snow accum for the 1st time in I don't know when, several years.

Good Times
 
At this point I'm not going to get excited even if it is actively snowing outside. I still will think its just going to go north.
 
At this point, I'm not even going to give it any credence at all. Too many damaged hopes from what was supposed to be 48 hours out. It sucks to suck
This storm set up would be different, no? I know the CAD always messes us up in south central Alabama so if this is more of a gulf low/ artic air situation then i feel more confident we can actually score.
 
This storm set up would be different, no? I know the CAD always messes us up in south central Alabama so if this is more of a gulf low/ artic air situation then i feel more confident we can actually score.
This wont be like this storm. A compact low which should draw in cold air.
 
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