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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

This screams changeover once rates pick up IMO, with marginally above freezing temps only evident near the surface. That pocket of cold air at 925 may actually be enough for some sandhills areas. Can anyone confirm this?
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To be clear, this seems sort of hybrid changeover imo of both cold air advection plus rate driven turnover. Looking closer at the maps SD posted, wind barbs are NErly not westerly at 925 (not good for advection). There’s also a clear frontal feature, or at least a sharp wind shift, at 850 that seems pretty well aligned with the changeover location.

It would not surprise me if the changeover here in Raleigh happens either a) very rapidly and/or b) encroaches from the SW.
 
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Confirmation from mping that sleet is mixing in that band in NE Columbia. Just a few more miles south to MBY!


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