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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

Brick Tamland said:
I get that, but do we trust the NAM if it has the low placement wrong to begin with, and if things go negative tilt sooner than the NAM shows?
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You could pick another model showing the same thing. You have a lot to choose from. I don't know if they're right, but they're all showing it, regardless of whether the low was initialized at a different location on one model.
 
It's in my opinion undeniable that it's gone negative.
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We need that low to pop in the ne gulf and ride just off shore to get much here. This one just ain’t happening for us as it’s too far offshore for anything here. The coast will get nailed.


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BHS1975 said:
We need that low to pop in the ne gulf and ride just off shore to get much here. This one just ain’t happening for us as it’s too far offshore for anything here. The coast will get nailed.


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It hasn't started to come up the coast yet.
 
Look at the NWS site and look at what counties are under an advisory and which ones aren't. It looks ridiculous.
 
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