gfs shifted precip inland a bit thru 30. similar to euro
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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Per newest models, LP keeps moving closer to shore but precip is getting shunted east. Looks like it's going to be too cold and dry to snow in the Triad IMO. Sharp sharp cutoff the models are catching on to
Snowflowxxl
Member
18z is showing more snow vs ZR for GA compared to 12z
18z Gfs shifts Precipitation West!
Snowflowxxl
Member
Good bit more snow for SC on this run compared to 12z
The same areas of SC and/or further west?
Cary_Snow95
Member
With that LP pressure placement you would think RDU would get CRUSHED
DLI4SCwx
Member
Same from what I was able to see so far.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Wayyyy better run for our NC posters!!
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Congrats New Bern. That’s probably 3in/hr right there.
With that LP pressure placement you would think RDU would get CRUSHED
Avalanche
Member
983mb LP right off the coast and I can't muster a flurry? LOL. What a tease
With that LP pressure placement you would think RDU would get CRUSHED
GFS shifts West with the accumulations. Very clear from 12z to 18z in SC
DLI4SCwx
Member
It shifted West indeed, but it's taking incremental steps. We need a few bigger steps. Lol
Agree! Being we're 24 hours or less from "go time," then not to expect much movement the rest of the way.
LovingGulfLows
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IMO, the trends are looking better for SE GA and SC, but a little worse for NC. The thermal profiles are improving for places like Savannah, Hilton Head and low country SC. Savannah on tap for 2-4 inches. Would love to see the historic squares draped in snow. Can't wait to see the photos afterwards.
sigwx
Member
I think you are correct in the dry air in this region the coast looks good of Ga., SC, NC. we will see how far west the snow goes inland Wed.
Nam0806
Member
After looking at the 18z model runs, I'm still not convinced that Greensboro area posters see very much (if anything). Like I and others have said earlier, we need something more than incremental shifts west at this point. At 24-30 hours away from go time, I just don't know much more this can shift west.
Unless 0z shows this major jump west, I will throw in the towel. I also believe we're close to the time to be "nowcasting" and looking at radar trends, etc. instead of following relying solely on the shorter range models.
Unless 0z shows this major jump west, I will throw in the towel. I also believe we're close to the time to be "nowcasting" and looking at radar trends, etc. instead of following relying solely on the shorter range models.
yep, at the same time, it's playing catch up so it may never catch up lol
The GFS and Euro will probably never catch up, at this point it's a wait and see what happens sort of thing.