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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Larry should wake up and look at the NAM!! I feel like the precip cutoff as. It looks now in NC, would be RAH! Just can't see this getting back to GSO/CLT
packfan98
Moderator
12z nam. Hr 39 the southern energy is further SW and the northern stream energy is further east.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The 6z GFS is a baby step away from being a January 2000 repeat at the synoptic-scale.
packfan98
Moderator
A lot more precip in the gulf at hr 45 with a little snow in the FL panhandle...
carolinachaos
Member
How I pull this, I've been unable to pull this off the SREF site.9Z SREF has gone ballistic. This is for JNX (Smithfield, NC). I won't sugar coat this, I think the SREF is absolutely awful, but a trend is a trend I suppose considering the pattern.
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Our trailing s/w was further east on this NAM run but it didn't matter because a significant piece was already dropping into our main s/w so they phase at practically the same time as the 6z run. Buckle up.
packfan98
Moderator
RollTide18
Member
W....what?
NAM is getting things interesting.
accu35
Member
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Lol ikr
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Okay then...
BHS1975
Member
Wouldn’t the more southerly component in 2000 bring the precipitation further west?
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packfan98
Moderator
Much more negative tilt at hr 54.
Think it's verga by the reflectivity...may not be reaching surface up this way. I could be wrong though
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SE AL almost in play with this NAM run! Wow!!
RollTide18
Member
Think it's verga by the reflectivity...may not be reaching surface up this way. I could be wrong though
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Probably, but I hope these trends keep up, wow.
At best, could be a few snow showers.