Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

[Brick Tamland]

That German joint came NW

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

Das ist gut.

 

[Metwannabe]

Overall about the same precipitation wise in NC, actually increased a little south of Raleigh, decreased a smidge in the northern coastal plain and tidewater and about the same for the Triangle
View attachment 2510

Don't you know I only care about the northern coastal plain lol.... jk. I really didn't expect too much to change with it, GFS seems to be the drier solution atm which is fine by me. Cautiously optimistic that the Euro is gonna keep the good trends going and maybe it will actually show what we want at the surface

 

[$alt]

That ICON run throws a monkey wrench in all of this, along with the cut off the RGEM showed. Guys, we aren't going to know until 24 hours out wow!

 

[deltadog03]

I am discounting the GFS and gefs for now until I see euro trend that way

 

[Stormsfury]

I am discounting the GFS and gefs for now until I see euro trend that way

Should be finding out pretty shortly...Happy New Years man!

 

[$alt]

Something to look for on the Euro is the possibility of the lead wave closing off. That drastically changes things. Here's to a good first Euro run for 2018!

 

[Clem282340]

Something to look for on the Euro is the possibility of the lead wave closing off. That drastically changes things. Here's to a good first Euro run for 2018!

If it's closes off what would happen

 

[$alt]

Bombs over Baghdad. Move to banter

Actually, your answer is halfway right. It would be possible for areas as far as AL to see some interesting weather. I don't buy the cutoff until Euro shows it, though.

 

[deltadog03]

DR NO is on the stage. Here we goooooooo

 

[Arcc]

Bombs over Baghdad. Move to banter

Asking a question isn't banter.

 

[$alt]

DR NO is on the stage. Here we goooooooo

Chris, do you use an inhouse source still, or stormvista? Stormvista seems to be the fastest, outside larry's private source from what I have seen. On weatherbell the 00z has not "initialized" yet.

 

[$alt]

Asking a question isn't banter.

I think he meant to move his response to banter.

It's all good!! Here we go!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I think he meant to move his response to banter.

It's all good!! Here we go!

Thanks Shawn

 

[Arcc]

I think he meant to move his response to banter.

It's all good!! Here we go!

I see. My mistake.

 

[deltadog03]

Chris, do you use an inhouse source still, or stormvista? Stormvista seems to be the fastest, outside larry's private source from what I have seen. On weatherbell the 00z has not "initialized" yet.

in house

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Chris, do you use an inhouse source still, or stormvista? Stormvista seems to be the fastest, outside larry's private source from what I have seen. On weatherbell the 00z has not "initialized" yet.

It’s initialized on TT

 

[Michael21]

If it's closes off what would happen

This could lead to the SFC low pressure storm end up being in the Gulf,which shifts the track way further west,which leads to massive strengthening with the SFC low hugging the coast if not go a little inland.This could lead to areas like most of Alabama, Northern Georgia,Upstate South Carolina,and maybe Western North Carolina getting snow.May also result in a major snowstorm for areas like Macon,Augusta, Columbia,Fayetteville,Greensboro,Raleigh,Rocky Mount,Virginia Beach,etc

 

[deltadog03]

chaser wave is a bit faster *ie further south* and stronger vs 12z run through hr24

 

[LovingGulfLows]

This could lead to the SFC low pressure storm end up being in the Gulf,which shifts the track way further west,which leads to massive strengthening with the SFC low hugging the coast if not go a little inland.This could lead to areas like most of Alabama, Northern Georgia,Upstate South Carolina,and maybe Western North Carolina getting snow.May also result in a major snowstorm for areas like Macon,Augusta, Columbia,Fayetteville,Greensboro,Raleigh,Rocky Mount,Virginia Beach,etc

So you think this will end up being a classic Miller A track? You don't seem to be giving up on this idea. Would be interesting if what you said comes to reality.

 

[Phil Connors]

Back in the game! Happy New Years!!