Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

[LukeBarrette]

Double low situation with ICON, kinda funky but not crazy. A transfer to a coastal low from the low in the Deep South is a scenario worth keeping an eye on.

 

[Goose88]

So the chief meteorologist on Fox6 in Birmingham is doing a live & said with that high pressure being so strong he is thinking it might be able to overcome the warm nose here in the Bham area
.. First time hearing that thought I'd share

 

[iGRXY]

My first thoughts map for the NE Georgia, Upstate, mountains, western piedmont crew. Along and north of I40 looks to be almost all snow. I still think along and north of 85 is going to have a significant snow thump on the front end similar to Jan 2022. Models had a sleet and ice storm exclusively going into that. The HI-RES models locked onto that front end thump that dropped significant accumulation before an eventual flip to sleet. I see no reason that doesn't happen here when you consider just how strong this CAD wedge is and the type of arctic air associated with it. South of 85 it'll likely be mostly sleet, but I can't rule out a flip to some serious ZR, especially on the southern end of this. And then I think a significant ice storm along and south of I20 towards the Pee dee is legit with ice accretion pushing an inch.

 

[NEGaweather]

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[Arcc]

So the chief meteorologist on Fox6 in Birmingham is doing a live & said with that high pressure being ao strong he is thinking it might be able to overcome the warm nose here in the Bham area
.. First time hearing that thought I'd share

It is definitely possible. That won't be resolved until almost game time.

 

[LukeBarrette]

So the chief meteorologist on Fox6 in Birmingham is doing a live & said with that high pressure being so strong he is thinking it might be able to overcome the warm nose here in the Bham area
.. First time hearing that thought I'd share

Yeah I'm not so sure about that...

 

[Stormlover]

I'm sorry, but this is a joke imo. Ill let results be the jury. They will never own it, when it fails them.

They are often horrible this far out

 

[chapelhillwx]

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Where are you finding these graphics? Did not find them on the ffc website.

 

[WxDawgWx]

Looking at the temp 10th-90th percentile spread on Pivotal for the Icon-EPS 18z, I can see some upper end temps on Saturday and Sunday in the 50's (even a 62) and 40's for just south of Atlanta. No idea how many iterations of these temps occur, but there is still a decent chance of nothing but rain for Atlanta at this range, I think.

Is it safe to assume that those details will be more refined when we better understand how far south the high pressure goes? Sorry if this is a dumb question, but I've been under the impression that the high pressure (and polar air?) going further south = colder temperatures.

 

[NEGaweather]

Where are you finding these graphics? Did not find them on the ffc website.

They are on NWS Atlanta site


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[NEGaweather]

They are on NWS Atlanta site


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Daculaweather.com also. He has all the latest updates and graphics


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[wow]

GFS a little east of the baja low at 45...

 

[NWMSGuy]

I did notice that the snow axis on the 18z ICON shifted some south compared to the 12Z run.

 

[iwantsouthernsnow123]

1056 high on GFS... Yeah I don't quite buy that. But nonetheless it's there but unless that continues on 00z I wont show any interest in it.

 

[CaryWx]

View attachment 186488
Double low situation with ICON, kinda funky but not crazy. A transfer to a coastal low from the low in the Deep South is a scenario worth keeping an eye on.

Again this is key. Where the LP xfer originates and where it forms off the coast. Origination point is about as far south as it gets to me. The xfer landing point can be anywhere from off Charlest'n to off Norfolk still from all I'm gathering. Depends on the amperage. mho only

 

[LukeBarrette]

Things will be much different here

 

[jrips27]

GFS 850 temps quite a bit warmer here leading up to the event. Let’s see

 

[Rain Cold]

We're not going to like this run very much.

 

[Arcc]

View attachment 186498
Things will be much different here

Yep, GFS going more amped no doubt.

 

[CaryWx]

View attachment 186488
Double low situation with ICON, kinda funky but not crazy. A transfer to a coastal low from the low in the Deep South is a scenario worth keeping an eye on.

What is also interesting about that plot is the location of the NY HP. Seems it would hold a miller-B coastal LP xfer further south

 

[iGRXY]

GFS about to give out a nasty ice scenario here

 

[KyloG]

GFS with a little more Baja this run…

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

this will not be a repeat of 12z. Joining the amp camp here

 

[wow]

 

[LukeBarrette]

87 out
Edit: much quicker to move precipitation in

 

[jrips27]

Even quicker with the precip this run. Interesting

 

[wow]

 

[LukeBarrette]

The baja is starting to eject eastward now

 

[iGRXY]

Transition line is fighting south though

 

[jrips27]

Bought to be an ugly ice run for ATL. no snow this time

 

[SnowNiner]

View attachment 186502

Seems like the Canadian vortex is weakening and stretching allowing the heights to rise in the SE.

 

[Wade2026]

Run better than I anticipated. This is a huge storm system as a few have mentioned.

 

[LukeBarrette]

This is going to be much longer duration. 2 day long snow event for many

 

[jackendrickwx]

Just obscenely cold sfc temps being modeled during precip

 

[SnowmasterATL]

Bought to be an ugly ice run for ATL. no snow this time View attachment 186510View attachment 186511

The rain line is getting closer to ATL though. and like some one mention, I see the vortex really is weakening.

 

[NCwx1992]

this is only through Saturday late afternoon....

 

[LukeBarrette]

This is going to be much longer duration. 2 day long snow event for many

Move that precipitataion in earlier and bang this might show 2+ feet for parts of NC

 

[chase5ash]

Did somebody say sleet?

 

[SNOWMANN]

No

Even quicker with the precip this run. Interesting View attachment 186504

No surprise precip always comes on faster than modeled.

 

[Stormlover]

View attachment 186514
Did somebody say sleet?

GFS caving?