NCSNOW
Member
16 inch plus mesn on the gefs, under 96 hours from start time. Triad into triangle. Unreal. Thats 1.6 frozen qpf
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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Posting this here because we like. No doubt, in line with the epic GFS and EURO runs based on these course maps.
Ron Burgundy
Member
FFC has introduced both SN into my grid AND “heavy sleet.” Five days out. Wow
wow
Member
AIFS a tad slower with the baja blast. More confluence.
rburrel2
Member
Complete capitulation on the euro ai…
trackersacker
Member
Euro AI is much better
WxBlue
Meteorologist
wow
Member
South trend aifs
wow
Member
AIFS looking like the GFS now
rburrel2
Member
Lights out in Atlanta on the euro ai.
WxBlue
Meteorologist
That is an insane CAD signal on the Euro AI. Trending stronger.
every snow swath is on top of each other, give or take a hundred miles
pretty crazy precision for 5 days out. we'll see if it sticks.
pretty crazy precision for 5 days out. we'll see if it sticks.
rburrel2
Member
We like to sensationalize ice accretion in here… but there is no doubt, with this storm, there’s going to be Helene like damage and power outages over a wide swath of the south east.
You’re talking 2+ inches of liquid that will all be freezing rain in some places thanks to the strongest CAD event we’ve seen in decades, utilizing the coldest air in the northern hemisphere.
You’re talking 2+ inches of liquid that will all be freezing rain in some places thanks to the strongest CAD event we’ve seen in decades, utilizing the coldest air in the northern hemisphere.
6 one way. half a dozen the other
NBAcentel
Member
This is eye popping… we are moving into the AIs range here… 
WxBlue
Meteorologist
That would be a disasterous ice storm for N GA and most of SC. Wow.
wow
Member
Watching AI discover CAD is so cute to watch. 1 pm Sunday. Barely cracking 20 in the NC piedmont. Mis 20s down to Atlanta.
A savior would be much of it being sleet. I’m expecting the WxBell Euro maps to be skimpy on sleet once again due to what looks like too much bias toward ZR.
wow
Member
Yes, at least at the onset..
NBAcentel
Member
Something else to watch here is the lingering overrunning trend on Monday, we are still really cold by then 
rburrel2
Member
Wow…. She’s a coming on 00z euro. Strongest modeled high it’s had yet. Record territory?
wow
Member
Euro steady 81
CltNative90
Member
Trend of the Euro AI is reinforcing the notion that the CMC and UKMET are off their rockers. If the OG Euro continues to hold, we can safely toss those two models 0z runs.
Remember you need 28-29 for some good accretion. Never has a 31-32 rain ended up severe here in ATL. The diabatic warming just kills it.
28 is the magic number imo for ZR.
28 is the magic number imo for ZR.
wow
Member
HP a good bit stronger..
NBAcentel
Member
Euro looks colder aloft here. More NE US confluence
wow
Member
Euro way more south. Precip falls off at the nc/va line
rburrel2
Member
00z euro… stronger high, better cold press, biblical wedge incoming… insanity.
Just in Charlotte or across the board? Just need clarity?
AI’s are close
close 
close BKWRN29
Member
wow
Member
No cap
bncho
Member
Baja low phases SUPER CLEANLY!
@bouncycorn would need to explain, but it’s certainly not just now discovering CAD like a newbie. We’ve anthropomorphized AI, to some extent, to help folks have a high level understanding. And yes, it’s based on decades of neural net stuff spun from biology (rounding here), but it’s not as simple as just learning from the last CAD storm. It’s every bit as convoluted as LLMs (ChatGPT like things). Just differently.
rburrel2
Member
Euro says the north Georgia/upstate gets 2.5-3 inches of liquid with surface temps around 20…. Ok ok
Somebody getting 8-10 inches of sleet?
Somebody getting 8-10 inches of sleet?