• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

Myfrotho704_ said:
Freaking beautiful View attachment 66713
Click to expand...
a8301c54f1e5536c0c8c2fe79d12752c.gif
 
Nick_boynton_ said:
This event screams front end thump at the least
Click to expand...
For models to already be showing temps in the mid 30’s with CAD always trending stronger and HP building in, I’d say at least an ICE storm is a very good possibility in at a minimum the CAD areas of NC/SC. NE Georgia is likely to get something going as well the closer we get to the event unless a total meltdown happens.
 
iGRXY said:
For models to already be showing temps in the mid 30’s with CAD always trending stronger and HP building in, I’d say at least an ICE storm is a very good possibility in at a minimum the CAD areas of NC/SC. NE Georgia is likely to get something going as well the closer we get to the event unless a total meltdown happens.
Click to expand...
I wouldn’t say a winter storm/ice storm is a good possibility yet, some models have the boundary not far to our south with 60s, we could easily turn this into a retreating CAD event with severe weather
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I wouldn’t say a winter storm/ice storm is a good possibility yet, some models have the boundary not far to our south with 60s, we could easily turn this into a retreating CAD event with severe weather
Click to expand...
Like Webber said, all possibilities are on the table. My point is if we were to see wintry weather I would hash my bets to an ICE event in the CAD area of NC/SC. But this easily could be severe or models flip since this is beyond 5 days and it be sunny. All options are definitely on the table but that's my only point. If we do get a winter storm out of this I would say ICE would likely be the biggest p-type.
 
iGRXY said:
Like Webber said, all possibilities are on the table. My point is if we were to see wintry weather I would hash my bets to an ICE event in the CAD area of NC/SC. But this easily could be severe or models flip since this is beyond 5 days and it be sunny. All options are definitely on the table but that's my only point. If we do get a winter storm out of this I would say ICE would likely be the biggest p-type.
Click to expand...
Yeah, trust me I would love a March 1960 snowmageddon concord NC 12 inch lollipop, but we still have lots of time, models in the medium range Have been a complete disaster, what we have going for us for sure is the big high pressure signal, but storm track and everything is a big question that likely won’t be answered until day 1-2
 
I could see areas S of 40 getting a quick burst of snow quickly followed by ZR. North of 40 and in the mountains it could be mostly snow with some ZR on the back end as the warm nose appears. Suffice to say it is way early for me to make a hard and fast prediction like I just did :rolleyes: As Webb said though, pretty much everything is on the table at this point
 
If we can shift the shortwave that hands off to the EC towards the PH of Texas/heart of Texas and track it south ? unfortunately a further north solution atm is more likely given the SER poking up a bit, which is why I lean more ice with this sort of setup over snow, but there plenty of options 2C8747B2-A799-4B4C-B52E-99DD644D037E.png
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top